SOA - Society of Actuaries - Living to 100 and Beyond Monograph

Living to 100 and Beyond Monograph

Session 1: Increased Longevity and the Challenge of Determining qx at Extreme Ages–Part 1

Ending the Mortality Table
Edwin C. Hustead
Abstract
Complete paper
Analysis of Trends in the Age–Specific Shape of Mortality Curves for Populations in the United States and Japan
Christine Dugan, Hande Gulumser, Richard Humble, Daniel Ryan
Abstract
Complete paper
Discussant comments: Allen M. Klein
Informal discussion transcript

Session 2: Impact of Aging Populations–Part 1

The Effects of Advanced Age Mortality Improvements on the Valuation of Variable Annuities with Guaranteed Death Benefits
Lijia Guo
Abstract
Complete paper
The Impact of the Equity Risk Premium and Population Aging on the Canadian Retirement Savings System
Doug Andrews
Abstract
Complete paper
An Investigation of Select Birth Cohorts
Richard MacMinn, Krzysztof Ostaszewski, Ranee Thiagarajah, Frederik Weber
Abstract
Complete paper
Discussant comments: J. Bruce MacDonald
Informal discussion transcript

Session 3: Theories of Longevity

The Great Debate on the Outlook for Human Longevity: Exposition and Critical Evaluation of Two Divergent Views
Jacob S. Siegel
Abstract
Complete paper
Search for Predictors of Exceptional Human Longevity: Using Computerized Genealogies and Internet Resources for Human Longevity Studies
Natalia S. Gavrilova, Leonid A. Gavrilov
Abstract
Complete paper
Trajectories of Disability and Mortality Among the U.S. Elderly Population: Evidence From the 1984–1999 NLTCS
P.J. Eric Stallard
Abstract
Complete paper
The Interdependency of Increasing Life Expectancy and Driving Life Expectancy of Elderly Populations
Chao–Chun (Vickie) Leng, Min–Ming Wen
Abstract
Complete paper
Discussant comments: S. Jay Olshansky
Discussant comments: Robert K. Gleeson
Informal discussion transcript

Session 4: Increased Longevity and the Challenge of Determining qx at Extreme Ages–Part 2

Session 5: Impact of Aging Populations–Part 2

Implications of an Aging Population in India: Challenges and Opportunities
Prakash Bhattacharya
Abstract
Complete paper
Shapes and Limits of Longevity in Mexico
Roberto Ham–Chande
Abstract
Complete paper
What if Mortality Was to Diminish Much More than Was Forecast? Implications for Financing Social Security
Robert Bourbeau, Bertrand Desjardins, Jacques Légaré
Abstract
Complete paper
High–Age Implications of Postretirement Risks
Anna M. Rappaport, Monica Dragut
Abstract
Complete paper
Discussant comments: John W. Paddon
Informal discussion transcript

Session 6: Data Sources, Quality and Analyses

IDL, the International Database on Longevity
Jean–Marie Robine, Amandine Cournil, Jutta Gampe, James W. Vaupel
Abstract
Complete paper
Number of Centenarians in the United States Jan. 1, 1990, Jan. 1, 2000, and Jan. 1, 2010, Based on Improved Medicare Data
Bertram M. Kestenbaum, B. Reneé Ferguson
Abstract
Complete paper
Seasons and Longevity: Mortality Trajectories Among the Oldest Old
Jean–Marie Robine, Siu Lan K Cheung, Fred Paccaud
Abstract
Complete paper
Data Quality of Oldest–Old Population in Taiwan: 2003 Census for Ages 89 and Above
Ching–Syang Jac Yu (Jack C. Yue)
Abstract
Complete paper
Discussant comments: Thomas N. Herzog
Discussant comments: Leonid A. Gavrilov
Informal discussion transcript

Session 7: Mortality "Laws" and Models–Part 1

Session 8: Mortality "Laws" and Models–Part 2

The Lee–Carter Model for Forecasting Mortality Revisited
Siu–hang Li, Wai–sum Chan
Abstract
Complete paper
Application of Mortality Models to Japan
Masakazu Ozeki
Abstract
Complete paper
Discussant comments: Robert L. Brown
Informal discussion transcript
Group Luncheon Presentation: The Evolving Elderly Population of the United States
W. Ward Kingkade
Abstract
Complete paper
Panel Discussion: Implications of Increasing Life Spans for the Private Sector
Steven C. Siegel
Complete paper