Predictive Modeling Symposium

Below you will find handouts from the sessions at the Predictive Modeling Symposium, being held October 8- 9, in Chicago, IL. Please note that some handouts are not available for certain sessions.

• Session 1a: An Introduction to Two-Part Models and Longitudinal Models for Use in Modeling Health Care Utilization
• Edward W. Frees, Assurant Health Insurance Professor, Actuarial Science, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Marjorie Rosenberg, Ph.D., FSA, Professor, Department of Actuarial Science, Risk Management & Insurance, University of Wisconsin-Madison
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• Session 1b: Predictive Modeling 101
• Ian G. Duncan, FSA, FIA, FCIA, MAAA, President, Solucia Consulting
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• Session 3a: A Comparative Analysis of Claims-Based Tools for Health Risk Assessment
• Syed Muzayan Mehmud, ASA, MAAA, FCA, Consulting Actuary, Wakely Consulting Group; Vincent Michael Kane, FSA, MAAA, Research Scientist, Verisk Health; Katherine Toro, Verisk Health
• View Presentation     Health Risk Assessment Exercise
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• Session 3b: A Practical Guide for Underwriting
• Brian Foote, Underwriting Consultant, Ingenix Consulting; Jonathan L. Shreve, FSA, MAAA, Principal & Consulting Actuary, Milliman Inc.
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• Session 4b: Care Management: Incorporating Other Data Sources
• Steven L. Wickstrom, MS, Vice President, Research & Methods, Ingenix; Christian Birkmeyer, Chief Operating Officer, Solucia Consulting; Leslee J. Budge, MBA, Associate Director, Population Care Technology, Care Management Institute, Kaiser Permanente
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• Session 6a: GLM & Recursive Partitioning in Heath Care Applications
• Xiaogang Su, Ph.D., Associate Professor, Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of Central Florida
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• Session 6b: Outcomes Measurement: Understanding When to Risk-Adjust Trend
• Ian G. Duncan, FSA, FIA, FCIA ,MAAA, President, Solucia Consulting; Iver A. Juster, M.D., Senior Vice President, Health Informatics, ActiveHealth Management Inc.
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• Session 7b: Predictive Modeling: The Employers' Perspective
• Chris E. Stehno, MBA, Senior Manager, Advanced Quantitative Services, Deloitte Consulting; Greger J. Vigen, FSA, MAAA; Kathe P. Fox, Ph.D., Head, Plan Sponsor Information & Consulting Team, Aetna Integrated Informatics
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