Living to 100 and Beyond: Survival at Advanced Ages Monograph

  • January 17–18, 2002
  • Walt Disney World Swan Resort
  • Lake Buena Vista, Florida

  • Keynote Speaker–Living to 100 and Beyond: Implications of Longer Life Spans
  • Anna M. Rappaport, FSA, MAAA, FCA, EA and Alan Parikh, FSA, EA
  • Complete Paper
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  • Session 1: Theory of Aging Session
  • Longevity Determination and Aging
  • Leonard Hayflick, PhD
  • Complete Paper
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  • Plastic Omega
  • Gene Held, FSA, MAAA
  • Complete Paper
  • Tables
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  • Underlying and Multiple Cause Mortality at Advanced Ages: United States 1980-1998
  • Eric Stallard, ASA, MAAA
  • Complete Paper
  • Tables
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  • Discussant Comments
  • Jay S. Olshansky, PhD
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  • Author Reply
  • Gene Held, FSA, MAAA
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  • Session 2: Mortality Laws and Models Session–Part I
  • Living to Age 100 in Canada in 2000
  • Louis G. Doray, PhD, ASA
  • Complete Paper
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  • Oldest-Old Mortality Rates and the Gompertz Law: A Theoretical and Empirical Study Based on Four Countries
  • Ching-Syang Jack Yue (Jack C. Yue), PhD, ASA
  • Complete Paper
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  • Discussant Comments
  • Leonid A. Gavrilov, PhD
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  • Session 3: Mortality Laws and Models Session–Part II
  • Approaches and Experiences in Projecting Mortality Patterns for the Oldest Old
  • Thomas Büettner, PhD, Msc
  • Complete Paper
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  • Using Dynamic Reliability in Estimating Mortality at Advanced Ages
  • Fanny L.F. Lin, PhD
  • Complete Paper
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  • Discussant Comments
  • Natalia S. Gavrilova, PhD
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  • Session 4: Sparse Data Session
  • Dealing with Problems in Data Quality for the Measurement of Mortality at Advanced Ages in Canada
  • Robert Bourbeau, PhD and Bertrand Desjardins PhD
  • Complete Paper
  • Tables
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  • Mortality at Advanced Ages in Spain
  • Angeles Checa Maria Felipe and Jens Perch Nielsen
  • Complete Paper
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  • Emergence of Supercentenarians in Low Mortality Countries
  • Jean-Marie Robine and James W. Vaupel, PhD
  • Complete Paper
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  • Discussant Comments
  • Bertram M. Kestenbaum, ASA
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  • Session 5: Risk Factors Session–Part I
  • Mortality for Retired Federal Employees and their Survivors
  • Michael R. Virga, ASA, MAAA, EA
  • Complete Paper
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  • Analysis of Mortality in a Small Sample of Older Adults
  • Bruce Leonard Jones, PhD, Hyuk-Sung Kwon, Donald H. Paterson, David A. Cunningham and John J. Koval
  • Complete Paper
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  • Detection and Significance of Frailty in Elderly Insurance Applicants
  • Robert J. Pokorski, MD, FACP
  • Complete Paper
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  • Discussant Comments
  • John W. Paddon, FSA, MAAA
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  • Session 6: Risk Factors Session–Part II
  • Estimating Mortality of Insured Advanced-age Population with Cox Regression Model
  • Zhiwei Zhu, PhD, Michael Hoag, FSA, Stephane Julien, FSA and Sufang Cui, PhD
  • Complete Paper
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  • Data Mining Techniques for Mortality at Advanced Age
  • Lijia Guo, PhD, ASA, MAAA and Morgan C. Wang, PhD
  • Complete Paper
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  • Discussant Comments
  • Esther Portnoy, PhD
  • Complete Paper
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  • Session 7: Mortality at Oldest Ages Session–Part I
  • Reported Deaths of Centenarians and Near-Centenarians in the U.S. Social Security Administration's Death Master File
  • Kenneth Faig, Jr., FSA
  • Complete Paper
  • Tables
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  • Mortality of the Extreme Aged in the United States in the 1990s, based on Improved Medicare Data
  • Bertram M. Kestenbaum, ASA and B. Reneé Ferguson, MS
  • Complete Paper
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  • Mortality at Advanced Ages in the United Kingdom
  • Adrian P Gallop, BSc, FIA
  • Complete Paper
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  • Discussant Comments
  • Ward Kingkade, PhD
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  • Author Reply
  • Kenneth Faig, Jr., FSA
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  • Session 8: Mortality at Oldest Ages Session–Part II
  • Pensioner Mortality in the New York State Public Retirement Systems
  • James Fox
  • Complete Paper
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  • Living and Dying Beyond Age 100 in Japan
  • Jean-Marie Robine and Yasuhiko Saito, PhD and Carol Jagger
  • Complete Paper
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  • Discussant Comments
  • Ward Kingkade, PhD
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  • Author Reply
  • Yasuhiko Saito, PhD