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Wednesday, Jan. 4
7:00 a.m. – 5:00 p.m.
Registration is open for all meeting attendees.
7:00 – 8:00 a.m.
A hot breakfast buffet is available for all meeting attendees.
8:00 a.m. – 9:45 a.m.

Presentation(s): View Presentation

Moderator(s): Timothy F. Harris, FSA, MAAA, Actuarys, LLC

brown-jerry SOA President:  Jeremy J. Brown, FSA, MAAA, EA 




Featured Presentation:  How to Die Young at a Very Old Age

Nir Barzilai Nir Barzilai, M.D. 
Institute for Aging Research at Albert Einstein College of Medicine

Dr. Barzilai is a chaired professor of medicine and genetics and the director of the Institute for Aging Research at the Albert Einstein College of Medicine, which is currently the biggest center in the world to study the biology of aging. This Institute is the home of the Nathan Shock Center of Excellence in the Biology of Aging and the Glenn center for the Biology of Human Aging. His interests focus on several basic mechanisms in the biology and genetics of aging. Barzilai is the recipient of an NIH Merit Award aiming to extend the healthy life span in rodents by biological interventions. He also studies families of Ashkenazi Jewish centenarians that have provided genetic/biological insights on the protection against aging. Several drugs are developed based, in part, on these paradigm-changing studies. He is a recipient of numerous prestigious awards, including the recipient of the 2010 Irving S. Wright Award of Distinction in Aging Research. Barzilai is on the board of the American Federation for Aging Research as its co-scientific director and has served on several NIA study sections. He is also a founder of CohBar Inc., a biotech that develops mitochondrial derived peptides as therapy for aging and its diseases. He is co-PI on the R24 Geroscience (Apollo) grant that is an effort to move the field of aging to translation. He is leading the TAME (Targeting/Taming Aging with Metformin) multi central study to prove that concept that multi morbidities of aging can be delayed in humans and change the FDA indications to allow for next generation interventions. Barzilai's work has been profiled by major outlets, including the New York Times, the BBC and PBS' NOVA science now, TEDx talk Science and is the leading feature on the Ron Howard/Jonathan Silberberg/National Geographic film about the Age of Aging.

9:45 – 10:05 a.m.
A refreshment break is available for all meeting attendees.
10:05 – 11:50 a.m
Concurrent Sessions 1

Presentation(s): View Presentation

Moderator(s): Kai Kaufhold, Aktuar DAV, Ad Res Reinsurance Services

Discussant:  Thomas P. Edwalds, FSA, ACAS, MAAA, DePaul University


  • Introduction to the Human Mortality Database
    Magali Barbieri, Ph.D. - UC-Berkley, Human Mortality Database


  • Compiling a Very Large Sample of Centenarian Pedigrees to Ascertain Patterns of Inheritance and a "Familial Propensity for Longevity Score" 
    Lisa Nussbaum; Giacomo Nebbia; Annie Helmkamp; Stacy Andersen - Boston University; Thomas Perls, M.D., MPH; Paola Sebastiani, Ph.D.
  • Levels and Trends in Regional Mortality in the U.S. at ages 80 and over: Exploratory Data Analysis of Direct Mortality Estimates
    Kirill Andreev, Ph.D. - United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division; Danan Gu, Ph.D. - United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division


Presentation(s): View Presentation

Moderator(s): Jean-Marc Fix, FSA, MAAA, Optimum Re

Discussant:  Jean-Marie Robine, Ph.D., INSERM


  • Mortality Trajectories at Exceptionally High Ages: A Study of Supercentenarians 
    Natalia S. Gavrilova, Ph.D.; Leonid A. Gavrilov, Ph.D. - University of Chicago
  • Historical Evolution of Old-Age Mortality and New Approaches to Mortality Forecasting 
    Leonid A. Gavrilov, Ph.D.; Natalia S. Gavrilova, Ph.D. - University of Chicago
  • Where is the Level of the Mortality Plateau? 
    Roland Rau, Ph.D. - University of Rostock; Marcus Ebeling; Frederik Peters, Ph.D.; Christina Bohk-Ewald, Ph.D.; Trifon I. Missov, Ph.D. - Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research


Presentation(s): View Presentation

Credits: 2.10 Noncore EA

Moderator(s): Anna M. Rappaport, FSA, MAAA, Anna Rappaport Consulting

Panelists:  Robert L. Brown, FSA, ACAS, FCIA, HONFIA, Ph.D.; John Cutler, Esq., Senior Fellow, National Academy of Social Insurance; David Sinclair, International Longevity Center - UK

Population aging will have a major societal impact in the decades ahead. While there are many countries where people are living longer and where there is a growing older population, we will focus on the UK, U.S. and Canada. There are common threads in both demographics and in some of the policy challenges facing these countries. This panel will take a societal focus and will examine major policy issues and response to some of these issues from a big picture point of view. The panel will focus on common threads, similarities and differences. It is expected by using multiple countries that we can learn from all of the experiences. This session will focus on government.

12:00 – 1:10 p.m.

This is your opportunity to network with your peers during lunch. And don't forget to make new professional connections and explore fresh opportunities!

The luncheon is included in your registration fee. You may register your guest(s) for the luncheon by including $75 per person with your registration fee. Admission tickets are available for purchase at the meeting as space permits. Refunds will not be available.

1:20 – 3:05 p.m.
Concurrent Sessions 2

Presentation(s): View Presentation

Moderator(s): Allen M. Klein, FSA, MAAA, MIlliman, Inc

Panelists: Allen M. Klein, FSA, MAAA, Milliman, Inc; Philip Smalley, M.D., FRCPC, RGA; Laurie M. Orlov, Aging in Place Technology Watch 

In this session panelists will examine past and future drivers of mortality and their impact on longevity. The discussion on future drivers of mortality will be based on preliminary work completed by an international group of mortality/longevity experts. The impact of two specific drivers, medical advancement and technology, will be explored in more depth.

Presentation(s): View Presentation

Moderator(s): W. Ward Kingkade, Ph.D, U.S. Census Bureau

Discussant:  Jean-Marc Fix, FSA, MAAA, Optimum Re


  • Extreme Value Analysis of Mortality at the Oldest Ages: A Case Study Based on Individual Ages at Death 
    Samuel Gbari; Michel Poulain, Luc Dal, Michel Denuit - Universite Catholique de Lovain - Belgium
  • Improvement in Late-Life Mortality and Its Impact on the Increase in the Number of Centenarians in Quebec (Canada) 
    Robert Bourbeau, Ph.D., Mélissa Beaudry-Godin, Ph.D., Bertrand Desjardins, Ph.D. - Universite de Montreal
  • Population Mortality at the Oldest Ages in England and Wales 
    Angele Storey, UK Office for National Statistics


Credits: 2.10 Noncore EA

Moderator(s): Bob Powell, Retirement Weekly

Panelists:  David Sinclair, International Longevity Centre - UK; Cindy Hounsell, Women's Institute for a Secure Retirement (WISER); Susana Harding, International Longevity Centre -Singapore

As set out in a previous session, aging will have a major societal impact in many countries over the decades ahead. As there are common threads in these challenges, there may be common solutions. Or perhaps not. This panel will look at more specific issues and potential solutions for individuals and the private sector at a more granular level.

3:05 – 3:25 p.m.
A refreshment break is available for all meeting attendees.
3:25 – 5:10 p.m.

Credits: 2.10 Noncore EA

Moderator(s): Steven G. Vernon, FSA, MAAA, Stanford Center on Longevity

Panelists: Liz Davidson, Financial Finesse; Jim Toole, FSA, CERA, MAAA, FTI Consulting, Cynthia Hutchins, Merrill Lynch

The SOA recently sponsored the Stanford Center on Longevity's Sightlines project. The project assesses how well Americans are aging in light of increased longevity. A recent published paper from the study indicates that while progress has been made, concern remains about the ways Americans are positioned for longer lives. This panel discusses some of the concerns from the paper and what can be done about it. Three areas critical to well-being as people age were identified in the study: financial security, healthy living, and social engagement. The panel would look at the various issues from these perspectives.


5:30 – 7:00 p.m.
Networking Reception




Demonstrating the listening, writing and speaking skills required to effectively address diverse technical and nontechnical audiences in both formal and informal settings.

Professional Values

Adhering to standards of professional conduct and practice where all business interactions are based on a foundation of integrity, honesty and impartiality.

External Forces & Industry Knowledge

Identifying and incorporating the implications of economic, social, regulatory, geo-political and business changes into the design and delivery of actuarial solutions.


Initiating, innovating, inspiring, creating or otherwise acting to influence others regardless of level or role toward a common goal.

Relationship Management & Interpersonal Collaboration

Creating mutually beneficial relationships and work processes toward a common goal.

Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving

Applying the actuarial knowledge, skills and judgment required to provide value-added services.

Strategic Insight & Integration

Anticipating trends and strategically aligning actuarial practice with broader organizational business goals.

Results-Oriented Solutions

Providing effective problem solving that addresses relevant interests and needs.