This seminar is presented by the Predictive Analytics & Futurism Section.
In this hands-on one-day seminar, participants will learn how to build a basic predictive model through generalized linear models using R. They will learn how to build the models for life and annuity experience analysis, how to apply the models in assumption development for pricing and valuation, and their differences from traditional models.
Experts will introduce the key concepts of predictive analytics modeling like translating a question into a model form, finding the right balance of model complexity and interpretability while avoiding overfit. Participants will gain an appreciation of some of the mathematical concepts underlying the modeler’s choices. They will learn how to communicate their modeling results to a less technical audience in a clear and understandable way. Finally, participants will be exposed to more advanced techniques, as well as the tradeoffs among the range of platforms and languages available.
The R software package will be used for this seminar. Participants are expected to go through a brief introduction to R prior to the seminar. Software and dataset download locations and background material will be distributed in advance.
In order to participate fully during the seminar, please be sure to:
• Bring a laptop with a 64-bit OS
• Install required software in advance, including R and RStudio
o A complete list will be provided well in advance
o A tech session the night before the seminar will be provided for troubleshooting
• Download the sample datasets
• Complete basic R training sufficient to run R and execute the demonstrations
At the end of the seminar, participants will be able to create a basic predictive model using the R software package, evaluate it and communicate the results to a less technical audience. Participants will also have an understanding of the resources available to them for extended applications of predictive modeling, including software platforms, other popular languages and options for automating documentation.
This seminar is ideal for anyone who is interested in learning about predictive analytics and would like to have a deeper understanding of the subject by learning with a hands-on approach.
Level of Difficulty
The seminar is designed for participants with beginner level experience in predictive modeling; current familiarity with ASA-level statistical concepts such as likelihood maximization and minimization of mean squared error; and ability to pick up R syntax.
Tampa Marriott Waterside Hotel & Marina
700 S. Florida Ave.
Tampa, FL 33602
Toll Free Reservations: +1-888-789-3090
Guest room rates (taxes not included):
$234 single/double occupancy
Make your reservations online by 12:00 p.m. Eastern April 19 or by calling +1-888-789-3090. Reservations made after this deadline are subject to space and rate availability. Please make sure you mention that you are attending the Society of Actuaries’ Life & Annuity Symposium.
A major credit card is required in order to make a reservation.
During check-in, all guests will be asked to verify their departure date. At that time, you may change your departure date without penalty. Any guest who departs before the confirmed departure date may be charged an early departure fee.
Why Stay at the Tampa Marriott Waterside Hotel & Marina?
We realize there are many hotel options available and by staying at the Marriott, we offer you the chance to save through the SOA group rate. Staying at the Marriott will also provide you the best opportunity to network with your peers and maximizes the quality of your meeting experience.
Confirmation of your hotel reservation is provided by the hotel. If you have not received a confirmation number prior to your departure for Tampa, please call the hotel to make sure your reservation is in order.
Hotel Check-In and Checkout
Check-in time is 4:00 p.m. and checkout time is noon. Those arriving early may check their bags with the bell desk in the hotel lobby.
Experience Tampa's dynamic downtown with a stay at Tampa Marriott Waterside Hotel & Marina. This beautifully transformed, waterfront hotel sits adjacent to the Tampa Convention Center and is steps from the Tampa Riverwalk, the evolving Sparkman Wharf and Amalie Arena.
The Tampa Marriott Waterside Hotel & Marina is located 9 miles from Tampa International Airport (TPA). Estimated taxi fare is $25.00.
AmTrav Corporate Travel is the Society of Actuaries’ official travel agency. AmTrav is focused on providing cost savings and enhanced travel services. Call AmTrav at +1-866-284-5774 or visit them online at www.amtrav.com.
If you have any concerns or questions, please contact the SOA Customer Service Center Monday through Friday, 8:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m. CST. Please call +1 888-697-3900 or email.
The registration fee includes seminar materials, hot breakfast, luncheon and refreshment breaks. Take advantage of EARLY REGISTRATION. Rates increase by $300 for registrations received after April 19. Please allow sufficient time for mailing.
|By 4/19||After 4/19|
|SOA Member, Predictive Analytics & Futurism Section Member||$ 575||$ 875|
|SOA Member||$ 675||$ 975|
|Non-Member, Predictive Analytics & Futurism Section Member||$ 875||$ 1,175|
|Non-Member||$ 975||$ 1,275|
This seminar is being offered in conjunction with the SOA 2019 Life & Annuity Symposium.
Please note: This seminar and the 2019 Life & Annuity Symposium are two different events. Registration and payment for each event should be submitted separately. To register for the 2019 Life & Annuity Symposium, please click here.
Online: (credit card required)
Online registration is available through May 20.
For check payments, complete the attached form with check payable to:
Society of Actuaries
Practical Predictive Analytics Seminar
P.O. Box 95600
Chicago, IL 60694-5600
PLEASE ALLOW 10 DAYS FOR RECEIPT AND PROCESSING OF CHECKS.
If you are unable to register online by May 20, you may register at the SOA registration desk located at the Tampa Marriott Waterside Hotel & Marina beginning May 22 at 7:00 a.m.
If registering within five business days of the program, please call the Society of Actuaries’ Customer Service Center at +1 888-697-3900 to confirm space availability.
Full payment is required at the time of registration.
Order confirmations are emailed upon completion of registration. If you do not receive a confirmation, please go to this page and log in to confirm your order was placed. To request another copy of the confirmation order or to update the registration, please contact Customer Service at firstname.lastname@example.org.
SOA incurs significant expenses prior to an event. To minimize losses, SOA maintains the following refund and cancelation policy:
- Prior to Monday, May 6, you may cancel your registration with a full refund provided, less a $100 administrative fee.
- After Monday, May 6, there will be no refunds provided. You may transfer your registration to another meeting or seminar within one calendar year of the original meeting or seminar registered for. However, you will be responsible for any differences in rates and/or fees.
- An alternate attendee within the same organization may be substituted at any time prior to the conference start with no penalty. However, if the original attendee is a member and the substitute attendee is not the difference in rate, between member/nonmember, must be paid in full at time of substitution.
- The Society of Actuaries reserves the right to cancel any event if conditions warrant. In the event of such cancellation, registration fees will be refunded in full. The Society of Actuaries is not responsible for any airfare or hotel cancellation fees that an attendee may incur due to event cancellation.
To cancel an order, log in to My SOA, choose the item you wish to cancel from your order summary and click the cancellation button. Complete the form to submit your refund request.