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Credibility: The Bayesian Model versus Bühlmann's Model
Credibility: The Bayesian Model versus Bühlmann's Model This paper examines the compatibility of the two models, in the hope that this exploration will prompt a greater ...- Authors: Thomas Herzog
- Date: Oct 1989
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods
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Bayesian Networks for Predictive Modeling
Bayesian Networks for Predictive Modeling Feature article discussing the use of Bayesian Networks as predictive modeling tools. Bayesian Methods;Modeling efficiency;Predictive Modeling 6/26/2013 ...- Authors: Jeff T Heaton
- Date: Jun 2013
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge; External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods
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Bayesian Inference for Small Population Longevity Risk Modelling
Bayesian Inference for Small Population Longevity Risk Modelling This presentation considers the impact of sampling variation on the calibration of stochastic mortality models. stochastic ...- Authors: Liang Chen, Torsten Kleinow, Andrew Cairns
- Date: Mar 2017
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods
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Current Pension Actuarial Practice in Light of Financial Economics Symposium: A Bayesian Model for Developing an Optimal Mix of Defined Contribution and Defined Benefit Plans
Current Pension Actuarial Practice in Light of Financial Economics Symposium: A Bayesian Model for Developing an Optimal Mix of Defined Contribution and Defined Benefit Plans This paper attempts ...- Authors: Armand Yambao
- Date: Jun 2003
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial theory in business context
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods; Pensions & Retirement>Pension finance
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The Variance Premium Principle: A Bayesian Robustness Analysis
The Variance Premium Principle: A Bayesian Robustness Analysis In this paper, the Bayesian model of collective risk theory is extended in the sense that a large class of distributions is used ...- Authors: E Gomez-Deniz, F J Vazquez-Polo, A Hernandez-Bastida
- Date: Jan 1999
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods
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STOCHASTIC APPROACHES TO CORPORATE PLANNING
STOCHASTIC APPROACHES TO CORPORATE PLANNING This teaching session is about conveying to users of models and forecasts how uncertain the outcome of stochastic projections really is. Return on ...- Authors: Frank S Irish
- Date: Apr 1977
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
- Publication Name: Record of the Society of Actuaries
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models
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Bayesian Statistics
Bayesian Statistics The objective of this paper is to present a technical exposition of the rudiments of Bayesian statistics. Estimation methods; 1941 4/1/1965 12:00:00 AM ...- Authors: Donald A Jones
- Date: Apr 1965
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods
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Credibility Theory - C-21-01 Study Note
Credibility Theory - C-21-01 Study Note Exam study notes on credibility theory. Bayesian methods;Credibility theory;Loss ratio=LR;Premiums;Statistical methods; 6018 7/1/1998 12:00:00 AM ...- Authors: Society of Actuaries
- Date: Jul 1998
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial theory in business context; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Estimation methods
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Bayesian Reserving Models Inspired by Chain Ladder Methods and Implemented Using WinBUGS
Bayesian Reserving Models Inspired by Chain Ladder Methods and Implemented Using WinBUGS This paper examines some new Bayesian models for loss reserving inspired by a consideration of some of the ...- Authors: David Scollnik
- Date: Sep 2008
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial theory in business context
- Topics: Economics>Financial economics; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models
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Simulating A Predictive Multivariate Total Claim Distribution With Excel VBA
Simulating A Predictive Multivariate Total Claim Distribution With Excel VBA In this paper we propose a model that can be used to analyze correlated claims data. In the process we introduce a ...- Authors: Rohana Ambagaspitiya
- Date: Jul 2007
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
- Topics: Health & Disability; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Simulation