Description: Panelists at this session of the SOA 2003 Vancouver Spring Meeting discuss Long Term Care Insurance pricing including the appropriate assumptions for claim costs, mortality, interest, lapse rates and required surplus, plus regulatory issues and the ability to obtain and implement rate increases.

Description: The panel demonstrates a technique that can help set confidence intervals regarding future rate increases used to satisfy the NAIC rate stabilization model. Specific topics include creating a stochastic model, deciding which variables are deterministic vs. stochastic, developing probability distributions for the stochastic variables, running the model and evaluating the reasonableness of results. From the Record of the Society of Actuaries, Volume 30, No. 1, Session 21