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  • Logistic GLM Credibility
    Logistic GLM Credibility This article summarizes a method for measuring the credibility of a prediction from a logistic generalized linear model (GLM). generalized linear model;Credibility theory ...

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    • Authors: Matthias Kullowatz
    • Date: Dec 2017
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Credibility theory
  • From the Editor
    From the Editor Summary of all issue articles, with theme of recognizing limits of classical actuarial methods. ;; Regression analysis; Risk modeling; Statistical methods 4294992059 7/1/2012 12: ...

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    • Authors: David Snell
    • Date: Jul 2012
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial theory in business context
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • July 2013 issue of Forecasting & Futurism
    July 2013 issue of Forecasting & Futurism The July 2013 issue of the SOA’s Forecasting & Futurism section’s newsletter, Forecasting & Futurism. Financial management;Modeling ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries
    • Date: Jul 2013
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail - But Some Don't
    The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail - But Some Don't A book review by Scott McInturff of The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail - But Some Don't ...

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    • Date: Jul 2013
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods
  • The Actuarial Profession and Complex Models: Knowing the Limits of Our Knowledge
    The Actuarial Profession and Complex Models: Knowing the Limits of Our Knowledge This article discusses steps to follow to ensure a more rational and productive approach to data analysis.

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    • Authors: Kurt Wrobel
    • Date: Jul 2012
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Dark Side Of The Moon
    Dark Side Of The Moon Feature article discussing the difficult situation of actuarial forecasting with little or no date. Financial management;Modeling efficiency;Predictive modeling 4294999280 7 ...

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    • Authors: Clark Ramsey
    • Date: Jul 2013
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Calibrating Risk Score Model with Partial Credibility
    Calibrating Risk Score Model with Partial Credibility This article describes a method that can be useful when re-fitting a risk score model to a population of only moderate size. Learn how to use ...

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    • Authors: Sheamus Parkes, Bradley Armstrong
    • Date: Jul 2015
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Health & Disability>Health care; Health & Disability>Health insurance; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Data mining; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Estimation methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Regression analysis; Predictive Analytics
  • Johns Hopkins Data Science Specialization courses: A review
    Johns Hopkins Data Science Specialization courses: A review A review of the Johns Hopkins Data Science Specialization courses with special emphasis on how they may be useful to actuaries.

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    • Authors: Sheamus Parkes
    • Date: Dec 2015
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Regression analysis; Predictive Analytics; Technology & Applications>Computer science
  • Introduction to Predictive Modeling of Fund Manager Behavior for Variable Annuities Riders
    Introduction to Predictive Modeling of Fund Manager Behavior for Variable Annuities Riders This article describes how different types of regression models used for fund modeling can affect the ...

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    • Authors: Bryon Robidoux
    • Date: Dec 2015
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Annuities>Variable annuities; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Regression analysis
  • Deciding What to Research: How to Spot and Avoid Bias
    Deciding What to Research: How to Spot and Avoid Bias A discussion on how to avoid bias when choosing research topics. Predictive modeling 6442473943 12/1/2016 12:00:00 AM ...

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    • Authors: Kurt Wrobel
    • Date: Dec 2016
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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