Description: This paper presents a statistical methodology based upon information theory, for adjusting mortality tables to obtain exactly some known individual characteristics, while obtaining a table that is as close as possible to a standard one. Followed by a discussion paper submitted

Description: This paper develops a formal framework to model the behavior of individual and small group health insurance policies in a competitive market. In this framework, anti-selective lapse is not assumed, but arises as a result of rational consumers seeking the best value in a competitive market where the premium rates are restricted by law. The authors obtain a model that addresses a number of fundamental questions which have not been fully answered previously, including the effect of price-induced anti-selective lapse on the mix of insureds in a block and the optimal renewal price to maximize the aggregate profit of a block.

Description: Panel discussion of alternative approaches to the design of reserve standards, to include those topics discussed in several recent papers and committee reports.

Description: This paper presents a policy-year model for GAAP valuation of reinsurance accepted on the coinsurance and modified coinsurance bases. Also presented are the interrelationships between the model's methodology and statutory accounting procedures, a discussion of experience-refunding situations, and a demonstration of the model's ability to yield GAAP profits as a level percentage of premium. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1981, Vol. 33.

Description: In this paper the author shows that the aggregate claims distribution of a portfolio modeled by a mix of the individual and collective models can be obtained with a single recursion under some conditions. He discusses why the collective model is not necessarily an approximation of the individual model in the context of pension funds, for example. An application to a Swiss pension fund is presented. From Actuarial Research Clearing House 2003, Vol. 1.

Description: 1996 Valuation Actuary Symposium. Topics discussed in this session included developing an approach to quantifying C-3 risk and exploring ways to improve the C-3 component of the NAIC RBC formula.

Description: This presentation develops an integrated approach that addresses simultaneously guaranteed annuity option (GAO)’s pricing and capital requirement calculation.

Description: A study of claims cost variation by policy duration fo rindividual medical insurance. The report presents results for single vs. family contracts with long-form underwriting, based on approximately $1.3 billion in incurred claims data provided by seven carriers, for incurral years 2001 through 2003.

Description: This is the abstract of a paper that considers a general two-country model of exchange rate dynamics in which interest rates are stochastic. Special cases of this model are also illustrated in which the, interest rates are constant in each country and when interest rates are Gaussian in each country. This model provides an important tool for actuaries dealing with global risk which includes valuation of currency derivatives [forwards, futures, options and swaps], frequency/severity claims model with exchange rate risk in the claim size, valuation of individual insurance contracts written in foreign currency, and valuation of general interest sensitive claims in foreign currency.

Description: In this paper an algorithm is derived for computing the distribution of aggregate claims for the individual risk theory model. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1983, Vol. 35.