Description: In this paper, chapter V of the 1987 Valuation Actuary Handbook, the authors start with a discussion of how the recent economic environment with volatile interest rates has changed the valuation and surplus management process to one more dependent on actuarial judgment. In a discussion of surplus policy, the authors identify four “layers” of surplus which have been identified by scenario testing. These surplus layers, along with policy reserves, are based on specific invested assets. The paper discusses implications for the future and notes the actuary’s ability to advise management on surplus adequacy is a basic tool of risk management.

Description: This article offers insights about the United Technologies Corporation lifetime income approach and information on the design, administration and acceptance.

Description: Investment Fallacies: The Best Model Doesn't Win

Description: In recent years there has been an increasing interest in the practical application of immunization theory to North American Funds. There is a lack of literature on this subject and this article is written to give a clear and concise description of the theory, and of its role in the framing of investment policy.

Description: Risk management theory prescribes a few legitimate reasons for management to hedge corporate revenues and reduce income volatility. In this paper we will use the oil tanker industry to illustrate some of these strategic considerations and how management can account for them in their decisions regarding whether and how much to hedge. Further work is needed to incorporate these considerations into a broader theoretical framework. Presented at 2010 Enterprise Risk Management Symposium, Society of Actuaries, April 12-15, 2010.

Description: Investment Fallacies: A real-world approach to Value at Risk

Description: Invest Fallacies: Active management overall performs different than passive management

Description: Investment Fallacies: Future Equity Returns

Description: Investment Fallacies: Mathematical modeling of social phenomena

Description: Investment Fallacies: Gambler’s Fallacy: Probability of Reversion