Description: A method is presented which uses Bayes Lemma in an elementary way to construct posterior probabilities to be attached to each of several alternative prior distributions, given a few observations. The availability of efficient computer programs to numerically perform discrete convolutions for producing prior distributions makes this a practical method. From the Actuarial Research Clearing House 1978, Vol.2.

Description: This paper proposes a model for the incurred but not reported - IBNR- claims of an insurance company. This model will be fit to third party automobile bodily injury claims for which the months and years of occurrence of the accident are available. From the Actuarial Research Clearing House 1990 VOL. 1

Description: In a recent Society of Actuaries' regional meeting, there was a discussion on an age-old actuarial problem. Within the same company, should the return on equity ROE target vary by profit center depending upon the risk of the profit center? For example, should company management demand a different ROE from the Group Health line than from the Ordinary Life line?

Description: The purpose of this paper is to examine a special case of option pricing theory in which the insurance company promises the customer to exercise the option for him. This paper presents a simple formula for valuing the option. From the Actuarial Research Clearing House 1991, Vol.1.

Description: This paper shows the mortality element can be partially isolated allowing an exact annuity value to be readily obtained at any interest rate. From the Actuarial Research Clearing House 1979, Vol.2.

Description: In estimating mortality rates from the experience of a life insurance company or employee-benefit plan, it is expedient, because of the movement into and out of the covered group on dates other than birthdays or policy anniversaries, to make some assumption about mortality over a fractional part of a year of age. This paper describes and develops the concept of 'exposure' with regard to the more commonly known methods of estimating the rate of mortality, and proposes a fourth methodology. From the Actuarial Research Clearing House 1978, Vol.2.

Description: This article considers the challenges that need to be addressed in the cost analysis of long range social insurance programs, which in the US is now over a period of 75 years. The main thrust of this paper is the consideration of population changes however, the effects of economic elements cannot be ignored. From Actuarial Research Clearing House, 1984 Volume No. 1.

Description: In this paper, the unconditional probability density functions of portfolio claim amounts based on several assumed risk distributions are found. From the Actuarial Research Clearing House 1994 Vol. 2 .

Description: This paper discusses the marketing implications of the baby boom generation and the aging of the Canadian population in general. From the Actuarial Research Clearing House 1991, Vol.1.

Description: This is a August 1, 1990 memorandum sent to selected members of the Society of Actuaries announcing the creation of an Education and Research Section. From Actuarial Research Clearing House, 1991 Vol. 1.