Description: The 1999 Technical Panel on Assumptions and Methods by Edward W. Frees from Pension Section News, March 2000, Issue No. 42.

Description: Actuaries and other managers of risk identify factors in modeling insurance risks because [i] they feel that these factors may cause the outcome of a risk, or [ii] that the factors can be managed, thus allowing analysts a degree of control over the system risk. The purpose of this paper is to propose a framework for quantifying the relative importance of a source of risk. The intent is that, with a quantitative measure of relative importance, risk managers will be able to sharpen their intuition about the relative importance of risks and be better custodians of financial security systems. This paper proposes a measure of relative importance that has its roots in both the statistics and economics literatures. The measure is intuitively appealing when assessing the effectiveness of basic risk management techniques including risk exchange, pooling and financial risk management. The risk measure is also shown to be useful in multivariate situations where several factors affect a risk simultaneously. The paper illustrates this usefulness by considering a pool of policies that is subject to mortality, the risk of a disaster that is common to all policies, and to a common investment environment.

Description: This study summarizes the results of the the Society of Actuaries' Non-Mortality Decrement Task Force data collection effort of plan turnover data for years 1994-2000. Service, by itself, seems not to be a good predictor of retirement. Service and age are each good predictors for termination it is found. The report is designed to offer actuaries information about turnover as it pertains to defined benefit plans.

Description: This paper introduces density estimation for functions of observations. The nonparametric density estimates are introduced and certain computational issues are discussed and a central limit theorem for the estimator is provided. From Actuarial Research Clearing House 1993, VOL. 1.

Description: Employee termination and retirement rates affect the valuation of employee benefit plans and thus are of concern to actuaries. To provide timely experience for the profession, the Society of Actuaries Pension Plan Turnover and Retirement Rates Committee organized a data collection effort. Thirty-two contributors provided almost 1.8 million life years of pension plan turnover data for years 1994-2000. This report documents the data assembly and verification procedures used in collecting the data.

Description: This abstract describes an article that outlines a process for creating an online actuarial text.

Description: Presented at October 1986 Annual Meeting. This session discussion is about the use of simulation, or Monte Carlo, techniques to analyze complex insurance models such as estimating reserves, solvency considerations, and estimation of mortality and distribution of aggregate losses with the aid of a computer program

Description: This paper focuses on the fact that life and annuity reserves that are determined from discounted case flows mask the dynamic nature of interest rates. To study this effect in a stochastic interest environment, the authors look at a change in discounted reserves. By looking at the appropriate measure of change, the paper explores potential short-term consequences of changes in the interest environment.

Description: The University of Wisconsin–Madison used its Centers of Actuarial Excellence grant to develop technology enhanced learning (TEL) tools that would be distributed publicly to supplement the actuarial education classroom experience.

Description: This is the abstract for the research paper on a hierarchial model for micro-level stochastic loss.