Description: Gather with members and non-members in the China actuarial community to discuss recent topics and related issues in areas such as macroeconomic sharing, pension, investment, product strategy, and more.

Description: An introductory article describing how Bayesian statistics has evolved over the past 20 years and why it offers the actuarial discipline powerful tools to better understand and manage risk. Compared with traditional (frequentist) and black-box (machine learning) approaches, Bayesian analysis provides explainable models focused on distributions of estimates instad of simply point estimates.

Description: Chairperson's column for the May 2019 issue of Predictive Analytics & Futurism.

Description: This article gives a brief overview of ways to extend clustering analysis beyond basic methods such a k-means

Description: This session will review limited fluctuation credibility, and how to apply that approach to a GLM. Alternative credibility approaches through the lens of ASOP 25 will also be discussed.

Description: "A crucial importance in forecasting is to be able to distinguish cases when temporary slowdowns in health care utilization are followed by a “rebound” period of higher utilization. Come explore an analysis of a new mathematical model describing the return-of-care process. By means of simulation and case studies using the R programming language, the relationship between the visibility of these effects and the endogenous variance of the utilization time series is explored. After attending this session, you will be able to: Describe the parameters and mathematical form of the model Apply the model to real-world utilization data"

Description: Model design is an important part of being an actuary, and the SOA highlights the importance of the actuarial control cycle of model design, evaluation and monitoring. What tools are at our disposal for these steps? When should we be concerned or excited about model performance? Can we, and should we, use machine learning tools to assist with model improvement or development?

Description: The CIA, CAS Institute (iCAS) and the Society of Actuaries (SOA) are joining forces once again to launch the Predictive Analytics Hack-A-Thon!

Description: Dive into an overview of potential customer value propositions, trends in consumer acceptance and adoption, solving the data portability issue, potential impacts of emerging partner ships with OEMs and more within the auto insurance industry during our latest webcast. Experience interactive dialogue that will allow another dimension of thinking as industry experts provide insights and expertise. Throughout this webcast, you can expect developments in the personal lines automotive telematics-based insurance landscape that will develop a further understanding of the present and future of this industry.

Description: The Predictive Analytics Seminar is a unique event that allows experts in the practice areas of life, health, and P&C to come together and explore the vast world of predictive analytics.