Description: Renal disease is a very heterogenous medical condition whose end state is dialysis, a recurring cost intensive medical condition. Dialysis cost is one of the major medical cost drivers in USA. Insufficient and improper care management in the early stages of CKD (chronic kidney disease) leads to early incidence of end stage renal disease (ESRD) among CKD patients which not only leads to high medical costs, but also reflects poor health quality.

Description: Modeling teams are getting larger to deal with more complex models and to support more enhancement requests from business and actuarial teams. Actuarial modeling teams can adapt tools and techniques used in the broader IT industry to be more efficient, handle large number of requests while maintaining their quality of work. Explore DevOps tools to track requests, progress made, work assignment and version control systems. See Azure DevOps in action as presenters use it as an illustrative tool to showcase these activities and how they can be beneficial to an actuarial modeling team (regardless of their preferred actuarial modeling system).

Description: This report looks at closed form models or 'exact solutions' in which calculus produces 'simple' formulae. The conclusion is that for Gaussian interest rate models we can solve the problem of an American option provided the option holder behaviour can be described by a force of option exercise which is linear or quadratic in the state variables.

Description: A description of the random generalized linear model (RGLM) and how to use it.

Description: 1993 SOA Annual Meeting, New York. This session was about what constitutes a good predictor for modeling. Topics included: 1. Size of model. 2. Lines of business. 3. Purpose. 4. Kinds of models. 5. Accuracy of model versus assumptions. 6. Presentation of results. 7. How to get credibility.

Description: Abstract for a paper that develops links between credibility theory in actuarial science and longitudinal data models in statistics. The paper demonstrates that many additive credibility models can be expressed as special cases of the longitudinal data model.

Description: Describes purpose of ARCH and editorial policy.

Description: This is correction to a paper entitled 'Six Bridges to psi,' which was printed in ARCH 1993 Vol 1. From ACTUARIAL RESEARCH CLEARING HOUSE 1994, VOL. 1.

Description: The complex world of life insurance, historically the domain of those gifted in integral calculus and probabilistic and present value mathematics, is explored using Excel spreadsheets and the Solver macro. The cash flow approach to learning life insurance examines how the cash flows through an insurance company without using higher math.

Description: This paper reviews validation for the model of a life insurance company's liabilities with actual company data. Two methods are reviewed: static and dynamic validation. From Society of Actuaries Financial Reporting Monograph, M-AS99-1.