Description: Analysis of data from three Medicaid managed care plans examines enrollment and cost trends for newly eligible enrollees under the ACA's Medicaid expansion.

Description: Presentation on estimating rates of early-onset Alzheimer's Disease. This document contains incident rates, critical illnese insurance information, adverse selection, and more.

Description: This paper examines some new Bayesian models for loss reserving inspired by a consideration of some of the methods and techniques appearing in the traditional chain ladder literature. This includes a possibly order restricted hierarchical Bayesian model for the year over year development factors. The issues of reserve variability and ranges of reasonable reserve estimates are considered. A new Bornhuetter-Ferguson styled Bayesian method of estimate revision is also discussed. These Bayesian models can be implemented using Markov chain Monte Carlo MCMC methods in a variety of programming languages, and can serve as starting points for more advanced models. This paper describes their implementation in WinBUGS a specialized software program for MCMC simulations. Illustrative WinBUGS code is included.

Description: In this article about interest rate models, the author develops an empirical description of the term “interest rate regime,” and looks at the relationship between changes in yield curves and moving to a new interest rate regime.

Description: Ruminations on changing skill sets and professions, with a focus on actuaries and data scientists

Description: Collective Health plan sponsors found that concierge services and enhanced digital tools produced lower trend by helping members navigate more intelligently.

Description: Presentation from SOA Annual Meeting.

Description: This discussion forum reviews problems of concern to small companies in preparing the new form of annual statement and if the comparisons of expenses, interest rates and other items among companies of like size are now more meaningful.

Description: This article from the Digest of Informal Discussion, Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1955 Volume 7, Number 17, identifies the participants and summarizes their comments. Discussion topics include: whether changes in ordinary insurance mortality are significant enough to consider preparing a more up-to-date mortality table for reserve purposes problems involved in constructing and securing statutory approval of annuity reserve tables with built in mortality improvement factors extent to which differences between current premium rate mortality assumptions and CSO mortality contribute to problems with deficiency reserves and arguments for and against the adoption of a different actuarial basis for deficiency reserves.

Description: Discusses role of actuaries in development of agency financing methods and establishment of agency performance standards.