Description: Discusses multi-scenario [stochastic] cash-flow testing for adequacy of reserves. Session 2 of the 1991 Valuation Actuary Symposium.

Description: This paper proves the formula representing the present value of an annuity of 1 per year payable m times per year as l - v divided by the interest factor that corresponds to the timing of the payments is seen to hold regardless of the relationship between the payment frequency and the compounding frequency. From the Actuarial Research Clearing House, 1994, Vol. 2.

Description: This paper explores some of the implications of rejecting the hypothesis that successive interest rate changes are independently, identically lognormally distributed on cash flow analysis. Discussions of this paper are included.

Description: 1994 SOA Spring Meeting, Orlando. This teaching session introduced Course 230 to seasoned actuaries who missed the opportunity to study ALM material on their road to Fellowship. The focus of this session was to expose the various subjects covered, identify reading materials, and highlight a few topics.

Description: This session from the 1995 SOA Boston Meeting covers a general overview of basic interest rate models, the meaning of an arbitrage free model, the considerations in choosing an appropriate interest rate scenario generator, the uses, alternative approaches, the double mean reverting process model - DMRP, and how good the results are in terms of historical rates. From the Record of the Society of Actuaries, Vol. 21, No. 4b.

Description: This paper describes how Markov chain Monte Carlo and related methods recently presented in the statistical literature can be used to quickly and efficiently simulate random draws from distributions with log-concave or nearly log-concave densities. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1995, Vol. 47.