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Unpacking Predictive Analytics for the Long-Term Care Insurance Industry: How New Approaches to Model Visualization Can Support Greater Understanding of Results
assumptions for the purposes of reserving, rating, and valuation. These techniques avoid some of the disadvantages ... policyholder. Figure 1 A SHAP waterfall graph for an individual policyholder In Figure 1, the SHAP waterfall ...- Authors: Joseph Long, Missy Gordon, Michael Bergerson, John Hebig
- Date: Feb 2021
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Long-Term Care News
- Topics: Predictive Analytics; Long-term Care>Incidence - Long-term Care
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Utilization: Long-Term Care’s “Middle Child”
pricing, cash flow testing, or a gross premium valuation. Actuaries rely on these projections in order ... modeling, which incorporates a wider variety of individual assumptions from the outset rather than using ...- Authors: Michael Emmert, Michael Bergerson
- Date: Dec 2017
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: Long-Term Care News
- Topics: Long-term Care>Long-term care insurance
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COVID-19 Impact on Long-Term Care Insurance 2020 Survey
may or may not reflect the experience of any individual company. The study is for informational purposes ... companies are indicating they have not changed valuation assumptions due to COVID-19. However, some companies ...- Authors: Andrew H Dalton, Robert T Eaton, James Stoltzfus, Michael Bergerson
- Date: Mar 2021
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
- Topics: Long-term Care
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Detail Matters: Level vs. Relative Premium Increases and Their Effect on Actuarial Equivalence in Long-Term Care Insurance
coverage should be consis- tent with the approved rate table. In theory, absent variation for competition and ... Matters: Level vs. Relative Premium Increases ... Table 1 examines cohorts within the block to determine ...- Authors: John Hebig, Michael Bergerson
- Date: Apr 2017
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial theory in business context
- Publication Name: Long-Term Care News
- Topics: Long-term Care>Long-term care insurance
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Advantages, Disadvantages and Considerations for LTC Policy Buyouts
cash ows. Table 1 provides metrics for the insured population used in our analysis. Table 1 Overall ... gross premium reserve $510.2M As can be seen in Table 1, the block used in our analysis is in a premium ...- Authors: Michael Bergerson, Jeff Anderson
- Date: Feb 2020
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge; Strategic Insight and Integration; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Long-Term Care News
- Topics: Long-term Care
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Reflections from the Chair
Reflections from the Chair Reflections from the past year as chair of the LTC Section Council. ... and opinions expressed herein are those of the individual authors and are not necessarily those of the ...
- Authors: Michael Bergerson
- Date: Nov 2022
- Competency: Leadership
- Publication Name: Long-Term Care News
- Topics: Long-term Care>Long-term care insurance
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Conducting a Long-Term Care Experience Study
of the population may already be on claim. The table on page 21 provides a hypotheti- cal example demonstrating ... this issue is to link each poli- cy to a prior valuation date and pull in the earlier policy benefits ...- Authors: Matthew John Winegar, Michael Bergerson
- Date: Jan 2013
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: Long-Term Care News
- Topics: Long-term Care