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Bayesian Bivariate Graduation and Forecasting
projections. Let there be K age groups in a life table. Suppose that for each age group a death rate ... ideas in the context of Bayesian clinical life table analysis. 110 -13- The Posterior Distributions ...- Authors: James C Hickman, Robert B Miller
- Date: Mar 1979
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
- Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
- Topics: Experience Studies & Data>Mortality; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Oldest-Old Mortality Rates and the Gompertz Law: A Theoretical and Empirical Study Based on Four Countries
population sizes on the testing results. 2 TABLE OF CONTENT TITLE and ABSTRACT ………………………………………………………… ... TABLES Table 1 ……………………………………………………………… 10 Table 2-1 ……………………………………………………………… 12 Table 2-2 ………… ...- Authors: Ching-Syang Jack Yue
- Date: Jan 2002
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Topics: Demography>Longevity; Global Perspectives; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Retirement Needs Framework, Chapter 15: Retirement and Health - Estimates and Projections of Acute and Long-Term Care Needs and Expenditures of the U.S. Elderly Population
care costs both at the population and at the individual level. Medicare is a health insurance program ... 160 Retirement Needs Framework At the individual level a choice will likely have to be made between ...- Authors: P J Stallard
- Date: Jan 2000
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Pensions & Retirement>Retirement risks
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Mortality Improvement Rates: Modeling and Parameter Uncertainty
rates (Society of Actuaries Group Annuity Valuation Table Task Force, 1995; Society of Actuaries, 2012) ... mortality rates which generate these rates. 10 Table 1. Model Structures Considered in This Paper Model ...- Authors: Andrew Hunt, Andres Mauricio Villegas Ramirez
- Date: Jul 2017
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
- Topics: Experience Studies & Data>Mortality; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Longevity Risk and Regular Discount Sequence
Taiwan Standard Ordinary Experience Mortality Table of the static approach in calculating the traditional ... is the number of survivors at age n in the life table. If we take a radix 0l , usually 100,000, to calculate ...- Authors: Ching-Syang Jack Yue, HSIN-CHUNG WANG
- Date: Jan 2011
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Topics: Demography>Longevity; Global Perspectives; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Coherent Mortality Modeling for a Group of Populations
improper to prepare mortality forecasts for individual nations in isolation. White (2002) found there ... accuracy for two coherent groups is presented in Table 1. According the log-likelihood, AIC and BIC criteria ...- Authors: Ching-Syang Jack Yue, Yu-Yun Yeh, Sharon Yang
- Date: Jan 2011
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Topics: Demography>Longevity; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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The Role of Conditional Probabilities in Risk Assessment
the lower actual geometric mean results. Table 1 below shows the complete impact this change from ... based on the traditional lognormal approach. TABLE 1 A Comparison of Projected Large Company Stock ...- Authors: Richard Joss
- Date: Mar 2011
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Topics: Enterprise Risk Management; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting