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  • Calibrating Risk Score Model with Partial Credibility
    regression model was the normalized cost of each individual. The outcomes for very high cost individuals ... regression model. For example, one very high-cost individual flagged for a certain condition could singlehandedly ...
    • Authors: Sheamus Parkes, Brad Armstrong
    • Date: Oct 2015
    • Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions>Actionable recommendations; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Expanding Horizons
    • Topics: Health & Disability>Health care; Health & Disability>Health insurance; Health & Disability>Health risks; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Data mining; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Estimation methods; Predictive Analytics
  • Company Profitability and Risk Dashboards--A Tool in the Understanding and Management of Risk, Part 1
    “expected” basis—a company expected mortality table, the total of all participants in a particular industry ... mortality dashboard only, an industry expected table. (Note that this sample dashboard was designed ...

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    • Authors: Marianne C Purushotham, Mark Birdsall
    • Date: Sep 2016
    • Competency: Communication>Difficult message delivery; External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Internal forces and business performance; Results-Oriented Solutions>Actionable recommendations; Strategic Insight and Integration>Big picture view; Strategic Insight and Integration>Effective decision-making; Strategic Insight and Integration>Influence decisions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
    • Publication Name: Small Talk
    • Topics: Actuarial Profession>Best practices; Experience Studies & Data>Mortality; Life Insurance>Marketing and distribution - Life Insurance; Predictive Analytics
  • Company Profitability and Risk Dashboards— A Tool in the Understanding and Management of Risk, Part 2
    individually. The difference between margins on individual assumptions versus aggregate margins involves ... involves considering the covariance of the individual risk factors. In VM-20, there is a provision for adjust- ...

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    • Authors: Marianne C Purushotham, Mark Birdsall
    • Date: Mar 2017
    • Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions>Actionable recommendations; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Incorporate risk management; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
    • Publication Name: In The Public Interest
    • Topics: Enterprise Risk Management>Financial management; Enterprise Risk Management>Risk measurement - ERM; Predictive Analytics
  • Predictive Modeling Techniques Applied to Quantifying Mortality Risk
    that produces a mor- tality multiplier for each individual. This multiplier can serve as the basis for ... predictive models and our base male nonsmoker table. After review- ing the model results for consistency ...

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    • Authors: Vincent Granieri
    • Date: Jul 2016
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations; External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial theory in business context; Results-Oriented Solutions>Actionable recommendations; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Experience Studies & Data>Mortality; Life Insurance>Underwriting - Life Insurance; Predictive Analytics
  • Alternative Target Operating Model for your Predictive Analytics Function
    Alternative Target Operating Model for your Predictive Analytics Function Possible usage of tools ... to pick it back up. Using the documentation, individual scenarios and other graphs, you need to open ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries
    • Date: Oct 2018
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>External forces and business performance; Results-Oriented Solutions>Actionable recommendations
    • Publication Name: CompAct
    • Topics: Predictive Analytics; Technology & Applications>Analytics and informatics; Technology & Applications>Business intelligence; Technology & Applications>Software
  • Accelerated Underwriting: A Transformational Trend
    Accelerated Underwriting: A Transformational Trend Defines Accelerated Underwriting programs as ... or cred- it-based risk scores attributable to individual applicants has more value than data that only ...

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    • Authors: Richard Pretty
    • Date: Jun 2017
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations; Leadership>Thought leadership; Results-Oriented Solutions>Actionable recommendations; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Product Matters!
    • Topics: Life Insurance>Underwriting - Life Insurance; Predictive Analytics