Announcement: SOA congratulates the new ASAs and CERAs for May 2024.

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  • Exploring the SOA Table Database
    Exploring the SOA Table Database This article goes through some basic data exploration techniques to ...

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    • Authors: Brian Holland
    • Date: Jul 2016
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Technology & Applications>Analytics and informatics
  • Data Visualization for Model Controls
    illustrate this, a specimen control is shown in Table 1 (below). This is from a roll- forward of universal ... here, but it is difficult to tell what is what. Table 1 1001 0.006 0.012 0.019 0.093 0.067 0.115 0.009 ...

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    • Authors: Robert Crompton
    • Date: Jun 2017
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Pensions & Retirement>Risk management
  • Chairperson's Corner
    even more SOA sessions, includ- ing two at the Valuation Actuary Symposium, to be held in Hollywood, Fla ... Holland, FSA, MAAA, is director and actuary, Individual Life and A&H Experience Studies at AIG. He also ...

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    • Authors: Brian Holland
    • Date: Jul 2016
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Technology & Applications>Analytics and informatics
  • Calibrating Risk Score Model with Partial Credibility
    regression model was the nor- malized cost of each individual. The outcomes for very high cost individuals ... regression model. For example, one very high-cost individual flagged for a certain condition could singlehandedly ...

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    • Authors: Sheamus Parkes, Bradley Armstrong
    • Date: Jul 2015
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Health & Disability>Health care; Health & Disability>Health insurance; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Data mining; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Estimation methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Regression analysis; Predictive Analytics
  • When Algebra Gets Chaotic
    When Algebra Gets Chaotic Discusses how 'insignificant' changes in assumptions can ... with more clear boundaries in my pricing or valuation or modeling work. Do you? What about pricing ...

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    • Authors: David Snell
    • Date: Jan 2012
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods
  • Predictive Modeling
    management, sales and marketing, etc. Please refer to Table 1 GLM: link function, variance and application. ... relation and its sensitivity to random noise. Table 1 GLM: link function, variance and application ...

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    • Authors: Qichun Xu
    • Date: Jul 2013
    • Competency: Professional Values>Practice expertise; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Data mining; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • The Actuarial Road Not Taken - Jeff Sagarin's Sports Ratings
    The Actuarial Road Not Taken - Jeff Sagarin's Sports Ratings Jeff Sagarin is one of ... insurers on the individual exchange are only allowed to modify the base premium for an individual based on ...

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    • Authors: Anders Larson
    • Date: Jul 2016
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial theory in business context; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Actuarial Profession>Alternative careers; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Modelling Process
    Modelling Process An introduction of predictive modeling techniques that are applicable ... stakeholders, such as pricing, product development and valuation. At the end, the lapse rate model will be in ...

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    • Authors: Qichun Xu
    • Date: Dec 2013
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Data mining; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Regression analysis; Predictive Analytics
  • How to Get Started in Predictive Analytics
    How to Get Started in Predictive Analytics Looks at free and inexpensive resources for the ... Actuaries” by Alan Mills. Alan put together a handy table listing common forecasting approaches in actuarial ...

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    • Authors: Mary Campbell
    • Date: Dec 2015
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Data mining; Predictive Analytics
  • Creating a Useful Training Dataset for Predictive Modeling
    Creating a Useful Training Dataset for Predictive Modeling Even the best algorithms are only ... are constructing a predictive model to predict individual and population-level costs for a managed Medicaid ...

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    • Authors: Anders Larson
    • Date: Dec 2016
    • Competency: Professional Values>Practice expertise; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Predictive Analytics; Technology & Applications>Analytics and informatics