Description: This paper examines the pricing of catastrophe risk bonds. Catastrophe risk cannot be hedged by traditional securities. Therefore the pricing of catastrophe risk bonds requires an incomplete markets setting and this creates special difficulties in the pricing methodology. The paper briefly discusses the theory of equilibrium pricing and its relationship to the standard arbitrage-free valuation framework. Equilibrium pricing theory is used to develop a pricing method based on a model of the term structure of interest rates and a probability structure for the catastrophe risk. This pricing methodology can be used to assess the default spread on catastrophe risk bonds relative to traditional defaultable securities.

Description: This is a final report to estimate the total economic cost of obesity. This study looks at the economic costs of obesity caused by increased need for medical care, and loss of economic productivity resulting from excess mortality and disability. The Society of Actuaries breaks out the economic cost of overweight versus obesity for the U.S. and for Canada.

Description: The academy generator is now a staple for actuarial practice. Initially confined to regulatory reserving, increasingly companies are using the AAA/SoA generator for a wider and wider range of applications which in some cases may be at the limits of what it was designed for. How is the AAA/SoA generator being applied in reserving, risk management and variable annuity lines of business? What are some of the challenges actuaries face in using this framework and what are the options for addressing them.

Description: Descriptions for proposed E&R sessions at the 2006 Spring SOA Meetings.

Description: This is the abstract for the paper on what the vital features of an economic scenario generator are.

Description: This session at the SOA 2003 Washington, DC Spring Meeting focuses on the issues involved in building a scenario generator. It covers the data set used to develop and calibrate the generator as well as a discussion of different approaches and their features. Implementation is addressed along with potential pitfalls.

Description: Panelists discuss: [1] how they determine appropriate issuer and concentration limits in a below-investment-grade portfolio, [2] the best techniques for monitoring and managing exposures as they improve or deteriorate, and [3] opportunities for managing credit risk through synthetic structures and derivatives. From the 2002 Record of Society of Actuaries, Volume 28, No. 3. Session 55PD of the Boston Annual Meeting.

Description: This is the abstract of a paper that considers a general two-country model of exchange rate dynamics in which interest rates are stochastic. Special cases of this model are also illustrated in which the, interest rates are constant in each country and when interest rates are Gaussian in each country. This model provides an important tool for actuaries dealing with global risk which includes valuation of currency derivatives [forwards, futures, options and swaps], frequency/severity claims model with exchange rate risk in the claim size, valuation of individual insurance contracts written in foreign currency, and valuation of general interest sensitive claims in foreign currency.

Description: The academy generator is widely applied in actuarial practice. Initially confined to regulatory reserving, companies are increasingly using the AAA/SOA generator over an ever widening range of applications testing the limits of the academy generator's intended function. The session will give a brief overview of the academy generator and the asset classes it can be used to model. It will also analyze the statistical properties of the academy scenarios and discuss the scenarios relative to standard validation criterion. Some of the challenges that actuaries face in using this framework will be reviewed and options for addressing these challenges will be offered.

Description: Reviews basic desirable features in an economic scenario generator. Discusses basics of model structure and validation process