Description: Presents a step-by-step methodology for calculating confidence intervals for IBNR estimates derived using the Averaqe PMPM method. It is a companion article to the January 2023 Health Watch article presenting the Average PMPM method for generating point estimates of IBNR with zero claims runout.

Description: 1994 SOA Meeting, San Antonio. This session covered single-premium group annuities under the following topics: 1. The evolution of the product and the market. 2. The forces that lead to annuitization. 3. Various annuity design choices for a plan sponsor. 4. Distribution process. 5. Proposed Retirement Protection Act of 1993. 6. The interest environment.

Description: Full version of Health Section News, August 2003, Issue No. 46.

Description: At this presentation from Session 72D of the SOA 1996 Colorado Springs Meeting, the panelists debate legislative changes to the Medicare program. Included is an overview of the changes in the 1995 legislation, expected savings in the Federal budget, a debate as to the realism of these expected savings, reaction of enrollees, and a discussion of anticipated effects on the private sector of the healthcare system. From the Record of the Society of Actuaries, Vol. 22, No. 2.

Description: A new statistical approach is presented for calculation of Incurred But Not yet Paid, IBNP, claim amounts. It is based on two new variant methods, the Simple Projected Paid Lag method and the Regressed Projected Paid Lag method.

Description: This session 39TS of the 2004 Valuation Actuary Symposium discusses the different techniques for determining health unpaid claim liabilities such as the traditional loss development method, casualty reserving techniques and new approaches that have been discussed in recent actuarial literature. Case studies explore and illustrate the issues and the pros and cons associated with each technique.

Description: This paper develops a method for estimating the future claim costs of known ongoing large medical claims. It applies Least Squares analysis of historical experience to derive two arrays of factors. One array is to be applied as a vector inner product with claim costs already incurred and/or paid to project a total future claim cost. The second array distributes the total future claim cost over the months following the analysis date.

Description: Calculation of IBNR Reserves compares IBNP lag method to Incurred Claims PMPM method which produces lower Variance. Issue No. 46.