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  • STOCHASTIC APPROACHES TO CORPORATE PLANNING
    about conveying to users of models and forecasts how uncertain the outcome of stochastic projections really ... really is. Return on investment;Risk assessment;Risk measurement;Sensitivity testing; 14874 4/1/1977 ...

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    • Authors: Frank S Irish
    • Date: Apr 1977
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
    • Publication Name: Record of the Society of Actuaries
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models
  • Bayesian Bivariate Graduation and Forecasting
    Bayesian Bivariate Graduation and Forecasting In this paper we shall ... present our results in terms of the estimation of human mortality rates, but the results carry over to other ...

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    • Authors: James C Hickman, Robert B Miller
    • Date: Mar 1979
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
    • Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
    • Topics: Experience Studies & Data>Mortality; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Claims Reserving when there are Negative Values in the Development Triangle
    Negative Values in the Development Triangle In this paper the author presents an application of Bayesian forecasting ... methods to the estimation of reserves for outstanding claims. He assumes that the time number of periods ...

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    • Authors: Enrique de Alba
    • Date: Jan 2003
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting