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Risk Evaluation in the Final Stages of the Pandemic
Risk Evaluation in the Final Stages of the Pandemic The direct and indirect effects of the pandemic ... pandemic have impacted many actuaries’ work since the spring of 2020. This article addresses three considerations ...- Authors: David Brentlinger
- Date: Jul 2022
- Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Small Talk
- Topics: Enterprise Risk Management>Capital management - ERM; Enterprise Risk Management>Risk measurement - ERM; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Sensitivity testing; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Value at risk - Modeling & Statistical Methods
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The Role of Conditional Probabilities in Risk Assessment
The Role of Conditional Probabilities in Risk Assessment 2011 Enterprise Risk Management Symposium, ... paper highlights the impact that a change in conditional data would have on a variety of risk assessment models ...- Authors: Richard Joss
- Date: Mar 2011
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Topics: Enterprise Risk Management; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Ruin related quantities in a risk model based on time series for count data
Ruin related quantities in a risk model based on time series for count data This abstract describes ... considers various specifications of the general discrete time risk model in which a serial dependence ...- Authors: Etienne Marceau, HELENE COSSETTE, Florent Toureille, Veronique Maume-Deschamps
- Date: Jul 2010
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Back to The Futurism
Back to The Futurism A discussion of the process and results report “A Study of the Use of the Delphi ... Editorial Back to the Futurism By Steven W. Easson THE REPORT ISSUED by the Society of Actuaries in October ...- Authors: Steven Easson
- Date: Feb 2009
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: The Actuary Magazine
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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When Affordability Savings Do Not Reduce Costs
Affordability Savings Do Not Reduce Costs Regression to the mean is a phenomenon that arises when comparing sequential ... closer to the average. Health care actuaries need to understand and be able to mitigate the effects of regression ...- Authors: Tony Pistilli
- Date: Dec 2020
- Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Health Watch
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Regression analysis; Predictive Analytics>Modeling techniques; Predictive Analytics>Quality control & model governance
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Book Review: Complexity: A Guided Tour by Melanie Mitchell, Ph.D.
Book Review: Complexity: A Guided Tour by Melanie Mitchell, Ph.D. In Complexity: ... history lesson on the roots of dynamical systems theory, chaos and prediction. Enterprise risk management=ERM;Predictive ...- Authors: David Snell
- Date: Jul 2010
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Oldest-Old Mortality Rates and the Gompertz Law: A Theoretical and Empirical Study Based on Four Countries
Mortality Rates and the Gompertz Law: A Theoretical and Empirical Study Based on Four Countries Presented ... testing the Gompertz assumption using yearly age-specific mortality data, and the impacts of the data collection ...- Authors: Ching-Syang Jack Yue
- Date: Jan 2002
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Topics: Demography>Longevity; Global Perspectives; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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The Perfect Swarm: The Science of Complexity in Everyday Life by Len Fisher
The Perfect Swarm: The Science of Complexity in Everyday Life by Len Fisher The author reviews the book ... book, The Perfect Swarm: The Science of Complexity in Everyday Life, by Len Fisher. He provides his own ...- Authors: Scott McInturff
- Date: Jul 2011
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Living with Actuarial Black Swans—A Discussion with Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Taleb At the 2009 SOA Annual Meeting in Boston, Nassim Nicholas Taleb shared some thoughts on Black Swans ... Swans, operating in the fourth quadrant, and living in the world of Extremistan versus Mediocristan during ...- Authors: Benjamin Steward Wadsley
- Date: Jul 2010
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Coherent Mortality Modeling for a Group of Populations
Coherent Mortality Modeling for a Group of Populations Presented at Living to 100 Symposium, January ... coherent mortality modeling by combining a group of populations with similar period effects - e.g., mortality ...- Authors: Ching-Syang Jack Yue, Yu-Yun Yeh, Sharon Yang
- Date: Jan 2011
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Topics: Demography>Longevity; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting