President-Elect and Vice-Chair | Ian Duncan

Amanda Hug Ian Duncan, Ph.D., FSA, FIA, FCIA, FCA, MAAA
President-Elect and Vice-Chair, Society of Actuaries

 

Biography

Ian Duncan became the 78th SOA President-Elect and Vice-Chair at the 2025 ImpACT Conference, the SOA’s annual meeting. Duncan is Adjunct Professor of Actuarial Statistics at the University of California, Santa Barbara. He has founded or co-founded five companies, most recently Santa Barbara Actuaries Inc., which merged with Arbital Health in 2023. His career has focused on advancing actuarial applications in health care, particularly in predictive modeling and health risk adjustment.

A dedicated volunteer, Duncan is a fellow of multiple actuarial societies, a member of the American Academy of Actuaries, and a certified specialist in predictive analytics of the Casualty Actuarial Society. He has authored more than 70 peer-reviewed papers and several books and chapters, including Healthcare Risk Adjustment and Predictive Modeling and Managing and Evaluating Healthcare Intervention Programs. He earned a Ph.D. in actuarial statistics from Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh, and a graduate degree in economics from Balliol College, Oxford.