Maintenance: My SOA, e-Learning, SOA store and all other SOA online services will be unavailable on Saturday, Dec. 5 from 11:00 PM – 4:00 AM EST. Thank you for your patience.

Announcement: SOA releases passing candidate numbers for October 2020 Exam STAM and congratulates the new ASAs and CERAs for November 2020.

Recently Published SOA Research

This page highlights new SOA Research and will be updated periodically.

Trending SOA Research

Visit our Trending SOA Research Page for a quick synopsis of our most popular research reports.  Review the popular research reports for 3rd Quarter, 2020.

COVID-19 Tools and Models:

A Tool for Tabulating Johns Hopkins University's Coronavirus Database: 11/16/20
The tool uses Johns Hopkins University’s COVID-19 database of cases and deaths as an input. The tool can run user-specified tabulations of the data by region and/or by filtering out locations whose data does not meet user-specified thresholds.

New SOA Research:

Mortality By Socioeconomic Category in the United States
This SOA-sponsored research report presents mortality analysis and rate estimates for the United States by year from 1999 through 2018, separately by socioeconomic quintile and decile.

Environmental Risk from Globalization 
Since 1950, technical and logistic improvements including pressurized transport have accelerated the ease with which commodities are transported globally establishing new pathways for the spread of alien species. With the ease of transport comes the difficulty of tracking and hindering unwanted species, be they vertebrate, invertebrate, plant, or pathogen. Globalization causes insurable loss through disease, crop damage, infrastructure damage, and ecosystem services damage.

COVID-19 Visualizations of Interest to Actuaries

The SOA Catastrophe & Climate Strategic Research Program Steering Committee has sponsored these visualizations exploring the correlation between the COVID-19 pandemic and a theme of choice of the individual contributing authors.

Introduction to Environmental Risk
This report will endeavor to introduce the reader to some of the known and developing environmental risks that impact the business of insurance, with a specific focus on North American risks.

Auto Loss Costs: Dynamic Linear Models with Changepoints
In this paper a new model is developed to better understand the complicated dynamics in personal auto insurance.

Individual Life Insurance Mortality Improvement Scale Recommendation – for Use with AG-38 and VM-20 – 2020
The Mortality Improvement subgroup of the American Academy of Actuaries’ Life Experience Committee and the Society of Actuaries’ Preferred Mortality Oversight Group Valuation Basic Table Team has released a recommendation for a set of improvement factors that vary by gender and attained age to be used in conjunction with the 2008 Valuation Basic table or the 2015 Valuation Basic table for AG-38 purposes.

2020 Living to 100 Monograph
Review additions to monograph sessions 1A, 3B, 3A,5B, and 6B.

13th Annual Survey Of Emerging Risks
The Casualty Actuarial Society, Canadian Institute of Actuaries, and the Society of Actuaries' Joint Risk Management Section is pleased to make available results from the 2019 Emerging Risks Survey. Conducted by Max J. Rudolph of Rudolph Financial Consulting LLC, the survey incorporated a set of Emerging Risks defined by the World Economic Forum as the basis for several of the questions. The survey also included questions related to current risk management topics.

Mortality Improvement Scale MP-2020
This annual update to the RPEC_2014 model and corresponding mortality improvement scales reflects historical U.S. population mortality experience through 2018.

Getzen Model of Long-Run Medical Cost Trends Update for 2021–2030+
An update to the Getzen Model of Long-Run Medical Cost Trends for 2021–2030+.

 

Research Insight Podcast, New Episodes:

Mortality By Socioeconomic Category in the United States 
Listen to Ronora Stryker, ASA, MAAA, SOA Senior Practice Research Actuary and Magali Barbieri, report author, demographer and head of the Human Mortality Database and the United States Mortality DataBase projects at the University of California, Berkeley discuss Mortality By Socioeconomic Category in the United States  with host, R. Dale Hall, FSA, CERA, MAAA, CFA, SOA Managing Director of Research

Residential Flood Risk in the United States
Listen to our 2 guests from Milliman's San Francisco office; Dave Evans, FCAS, MAAA, Consulting Actuary and Cody Webb, FCAS, MAAA, CPCU, Principal and Consulting Actuary discuss Residential Flood Risk in the United States with host, R. Dale Hall, FSA, CERA, MAAA, CFA, SOA Managing Director of Research.

Trends in Normalized Weather-Related Property Losses in the United States 1960–2018
Listen to Patrick Wiese, ASA, SOA Lead Modeling Researcher discuss Trends in Normalized Weather-Related Property Losses in the United States: 1960–2018 with host, R. Dale Hall, FSA, CERA, MAAA, CFA, SOA Managing Director of Research.

2020 Living to 100 Monograph: Benefits to Practitioner
Listen to Ronora Stryker, ASA, MAAA, SOA Senior Practice Research Actuary; Jean-Marc Fix, FSA, MAAA, 2020 Living to 100 Chairperson; and Kai Kaufhold, Aktuar DAV, longtime Living to 100 international committee member discuss the 2020 Living to 100 Monograph's benefits to practitioners with host, R. Dale Hall, FSA, CERA, MAAA, CFA, SOA Managing Director of Research.

Mortality Improvement Scale MP-2020
Listen to Patrick Nolan, F.S.A., M.A.A.A., SOA Experience Studies Actuary and Marty Hill, FSA, MAAA of PwC and SOA Retirement Plan Experience Committee (RPEC) member discuss Mortality Improvement Scale MP-2020 with host, R. Dale Hall, FSA, CERA, MAAA, CFA, SOA Managing Director of Research.

Questions or Comments?

If you have comments or questions, please send an email to research@soa.org.