This video by Aree Bly, addresses large-scale ambiguity that arises from environmental and organizational forces such as policy shifts, technological disruption, pandemics, and organizational change. It explains that these complex or chaotic situations cannot be resolved through analysis alone and instead require action, experimentation, and short planning horizons to build clarity over time. The speaker emphasizes adaptability through tools like small pilots, rolling horizons, leading indicators, and focusing on what can be controlled or influenced. Overall, the message is that resilience comes from informed proactivity—taking agency, supporting teams with transparency, and acting your way through uncertainty rather than waiting for perfect clarity.
Contributors: Aree Bly; Jon Forster, ASA, MAAA