Description: GDP growth has slowed as numerous headwinds have emerged. This article summarizes a research paper by Mark Alberts and Max Rudolph that addresses reasons why this is so and how risk managers can address using scenarios.

Description: An opinion about the consolidation of actuarial organizations.

Description: Recent and potential near future extreme experiences are leading us to a new normal rather than back to the prior environment. Learn more about several examples of past Regime Changes along with a detailed discussion of how recent disruptions lead toward a persistent change in the business, social and political environment. Come develop an understanding of these drivers of change as well as the likely impacts on the Financial Services industry.

Description: Research report describing the results of an Emerging Risks Survey conducted in 2014. The report includes comparisons to the previous surveys.

Description: Research report describing the results of an Emerging Risks Survey conducted in 2012. The report includes comparisons to the four previous surveys as well as a survey sent to INARM members in April 2008.

Description: Most of our standard risk management processes are designed to work well within a shifting environment that stays fundamentally the same over time. We are likely to experience something drastically different starting soon - a major regime change. This webinar addresses how we might react to such turbulent times both to survive current issues and prepare to thrive in a new future. Participants will learn how scenario planning can be used to help envision a way forward. A case study will look at the ways that this regime change might affect our cities, how that could affect insurers and how both cities and insurers can approach the transition period as well as plotting a course for the future regime.

Description: Dealing with more known unknowns? More scary knowns? Or unknown unknowns? What is the next unthinkable? What future events should actuaries actively be modelling and keep us up at night? The Catastrophe & Climate Strategic Research Program of the Society of Actuaries Research Institute (SOA) put forth a call for essays exploring these risks. The Program Steering Committee selected these essays submitted by Sam Gutterman and Max Rudolph to publish, and are awarding them each a prize of $500. The Catastrophe & Climate Strategic Research Program Steering Committee congratulates the authors and is happy to publish the winning essays on the SOA website.

Description: The 2024 Dangerous Risks survey shows respondents react to recent increases in "old favorite" risks as technology evolves and the environment moves away from the pandemic.

Description: The articles discusses how Principles-based approaches PBA to setting reserves and capital can be combined with Enterprise Risk Management to create a competitive advantage for an insurance company. Those companies can leverage these models by combining unique risks and strategies to measure and manage risk.

Description: Combinations of risks are an important component of the Survey of Emerging Risks, now in its 15th iteration. Also known as risk clusters or compound risks, the most popular in the survey define threat multipliers, where a risk makes other risks worse. The top risks chosen are trended for the last 10 years, showing interesting cycles and discontinuities.