Description: After 10 years, the Affordable Care Act (ACA) risk adjustment program has evolved as the ACA has evolved. In recent years the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) has focused on predictive accuracy over compensating for actuarial risk and has failed to address systemic issues such as insolvencies that created suboptimal outcomes for the ACA markets.

Description: How is extreme weather impacting you? If you live in California, you may have been impacted by the atmospheric rivers unleashing record-breaking rain and snow last winter. If you live in Canada or near Canada, you may have been impacted by the wildfires raging last spring. NASA has declared that the summer of 2023 was the hottest on record.

Description: History of Life Insurance insolvencies and evolution of statutory reporting requirements and laws to enable improved control over preventing insolvencies. Reflects my extensive personal knowledge serving on regulatory and industry boards and committees regarding these developments. A key item of solvency control in Risk Based Capital. References provided for FRBC/insolvency data from NAIC and the GAO.

Description: In this session, we will explore recent industry-wide studies focusing on mortality and policyholder behavior patterns across both Life and LTC lines of business. The Life study analyzes extensive data collected over 2018-2022, providing a unique perspective on trends heading into, during, and emerging from the pandemic. The study covers 2.5 million deaths and over 5 million voluntary surrenders and fund lapses across term and permanent life products. The LTC analysis will focus on the components of policyholder termination, with an additional perspective of total termination patterns prior to, during and post-pandemic periods. The analysis will examine cohorts of policyholders to identify the area of largest deviations from expectation and how that translated into short term results as well as where we are today. The aggregation of experience across participating companies provides insights into areas where a particular insurer’s data is not credible on its own, including: older ages, preferred/standard classes and more. At the conclusion, attendees will have an understanding of how experience emerged and considerations for setting assumptions going forward.

Description: This session will discuss basic and advanced hedge modeling concepts. It will explain common hedge strategies used to support guarantees and options embedded within life and annuity products and the materiality of these products within the US. Attendees will learn how Machine Learning acts to reduce the computer processing needed to simulate the dynamic hedging of product liabilities projected in the future across many stochastic scenarios. Actuaries working in consulting, software development, and a large life insurance company will provide a wide range of hedging viewpoints ranging from a broad industry perspective to a hedging practitioner. Attendees will obtain a comprehensive understanding of a novel ML approach to modeling dynamic hedges and the hedge optimization opportunity it presents.

Description: What are the recent expectations of long-term trends in mortality? What are the limits to improvements in longevity? Join us as we review the factors impacting U.S. population mortality in the eyes of demographers. By the end of this session, you will have an awareness of the major causes of mortality and how they are trending.

Description: Discuss recent pricing trends and best practices related to the hottest selling deferred annuity product. Understand how and why pricing methodologies and approaches have changed over recent years given the steep rise in interest rates, how the risk landscape has changed due to the market environment, and where shortcomings may still exist.

Description: It's your first full day of productive learning! Join us for the opening session to celebrate the volunteers, hear from 2023–2024 SOA President and Chair Tim Rozar on the SOA’s strategic plan, and gain insights from the keynote presentation on AI and ethics.

Description: Health equity is an issue on the minds of actuaries and policymakers across the health insurance market. As such, a tremendous amount of time and brain power has been invested in understanding and quantifying these issues in public and private programs alike. While the specific results of health equity studies vary widely from one program to the next, the findings tend to reveal complicated issues with no obvious, off-the-shelf solutions.

Description: This topic will explore current and upcoming changes to the risk adjustment models and strategies for payers and risk bearing providers to reduce/avoid headwinds and potentially come out on top in the years ahead. We will discuss the timeline, nature and motivation for changes as well as the anticipated associated impacts.