Description: 2011 SOA Enterprise Risk Management Symposium, Chicago. In this paper, a multivariate quasi-negative binomial distribution is proposed to model frequency dependence among different risk types. The operational risk diversification effect is illustrated through frequency dependency modeled by the bivariate quasi-negative binomial distribution under a framework of Monte Carlo simulation.

Description: The Society of Actuaries announces the release of a new report that will provide a resource for the insurance industry to learn about image recognition technology. Authored by Kailan Shang, the report explores the current status of image recognition technology, models for image recognition, and various possible applications of image recognition to insurance.

Description: Risk management techniques do not include system science. System science requires that the uncertainty of the world is incorporated into the results. The articles explains the difference between risk and uncertainty. Learn how risk practices create an overoptimistic view of future outcomes.

Description: This study examines and describes parameter uncertainty. The paper provides structures to incorporate parameter uncertainty in quantifying risk.

Description: Advanced Topics in Corporate Finance and Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) covers a broad range of corporate finance concepts. As part of a 10-year strategic plan exercise, you'll apply opportunity engineering to help guide senior management in introducing a new product to market. You'll also focus on three applications of Extreme Value Theory (EVT), which are covered and tested in a business context.

Description: Using the copula package in the R computing language for ERM modeling.

Description: The speakers will share the international experience in the annuity market, discuss the annuity puzzle and the influencing factors of annuity supply and demand, and express their views on the annuity market trend under the aging and longevity trend of China's population and longevity risk management of annuity products.

Description: The proposed revisions to the variable annuity statutory framework and the FASB targeted improvement for long duration contract, motivate life insurance companies to re-evaluate their hedging strategy. Recently proposed revisions of AG 43/VM-21 and C3 Phase II, reward companies that have a clearly defined hedging strategy, if the companies can demonstrate that the valuation model and capital model can estimate real hedge performance accurately. The speakers of this session will discuss the hedging implication of the proposed AG 43/VM-21 and C3 Phase II framework. Additionally, methodology computational requirements, back-testing results under different economic scenarios and the resulting hedge credits of different hedging strategies will be compared, including explicit dynamic hedge and implicit dynamic hedge. The speakers will also touch on the impact of rebalance frequency on the performance of dynamic hedge. Case studies will be presented to provide guidance on practical implementation.

Description: Insurance company issues that do not necessarily arise in banks are identified and utilized to develop insurer ERM modeling approaches that start from the work done for banks but respond to insurance-specific matters. From 2006 Enterprise Risk Management Symposium, M-AS06-1.

Description: The monograph walks the reader through the hindsight, insight and foresight building process while discussing theoretical and practical issues supporting the building of valid forecasts with provenance for each of these schema examples. That is, the analyst can document the iterative ‘profiling change processes’ mindscape and landscape elements by which and through which the successful forecast is built. This kind of forecast construction ameliorates the ‘black box’ problem of generating pattern output without an understanding of the pattern’s creation or contextual meaning that is often seen when using other methods, particularly machine learning and artificial intelligence. This issue is discussed, referencing appropriate thought leaders.