Description: Starting with a review of recent VA and FIA industry policyholder behavior experience, this session will explore several critical elements in developing a sustainable and coherent framework to translate this complex experience data to assumption models, particularly for guarantee features such as GLWBs. The discussion will include the use of industry- and company-level data in building customized predictive models, and integrating models across behaviors such as income utilization and surrenders.

Description: In reaction to a spate of model conversion activity and rising acceptance of model risk management techniques, many companies have, or are in the process of centralizing their modeling function to accommodate both governance and efficiency demands. These operating model changes have produced a wide range of questions and issues, such as division of labor, roles and responsibilities, selection of tasks to keep decentralized, among others. This session will frame a series of key considerations around modeling function consideration, and share lessons learned with the audience.

Description: Reinsurance has been available for VA Guarantees for over 20 years. During that time, the reinsurance market for VA Guarantees has undergone frequent and sometimes violent transformations. Where does the market stand today? What forms and structures of reinsurance are available? Which VA Guarantee designs and features are easier to reinsure? Is reinsurance offered on both newly issued policies as well as in force/legacy books, and which vintages are difficult to reinsure? In an age of sophisticated hedging programs, what role does a reinsurer play in helping a VA writer manage this highly volatile risk? In this session, we will hear from a reinsurer that is actively writing new VA Guarantee reinsurance treaties in the U.S. and around the world, and from a VA writer that has successfully partnered with a reinsurer to enhance its VA product offering.

Description: The Society of Actuaries are once again offering a seminar that investigates all aspects of life insurance, annuity and long term care product tax compliance. Developed by the Taxation Section, participants will be brought up-to-date on recent Internal Revenue Service (IRS) guidance and learn about the newest tax issues related to product design and administration. Legal, IRS and product development experts will provide vital insights into the challenges of developing and administering products within the requirements of the Internal Revenue Code (IRC), and allow ample opportunities for networking, questions and information exchange.September 12The optional “boot camp” will provide an intense introduction to the basics of product taxation. The boot camp will include sessions focused on life insurance, annuities, and long-term care combination products. The basis of the boot camp will be the authoritative textbooks, “Life Insurance and Modified Endowments Under IRC Sections 7702 and 7702A” and the “Annuities Answer Book.” Book authors will conduct these optional programs. September 13–14The general sessions will feature product, tax, legal and compliance experts as well as Internal Revenue Service (IRS) representatives. Recent changes in the qualification requirements of insurance products and a host of product tax issues beyond Internal Revenue Code (IRC) section 7702 and 7702A will be emphasized.

Description: This presentation outlines one company's approach to enterprise risk management and how it is used to monitor and control operational risk.

Description: Spreadsheet of sample calculations for extreme value theory. Extreme value analysis seeks to assess, from a given ordered sample of a given random variable, the probability of events that are more extreme than any observed prior.

Description: The prediction of adequate claims reserves is a major subject in actuarial practice and science. Due to their simplicity, the chain ladder [CL] and Bornhuetter-Ferguson [BF] methods are the most commonly used claims reserving methods in practice. This presentation develops an estimator for the conditional mean square error of prediction [MSEP] of the ultimate claim in the BF method. This will be done in the framework of generalized linear models [GLM] using the overdispersed Poisson model motivation for the use of CL factor estimates in the estimation of the claims development pattern.

Description: This presentation shows that, if the options or guarantees are exercisable only at the moment of death of the policyholder, the mathematics simplifies to an elementary calculus exercise.

Description: The presenters will explore the long-term care insurance product and its impact on potential transactions. Discuss why the inherent risks of this product create challenges for buyers and sellers in this market.