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Chairperson's Corner
Chairperson's Corner This article provides a highlight of all the information and resources the predictive analytics and futurism section provides to its members. Predictive modeling ...- Authors: Ricardo Trachtman
- Date: Jun 2017
- Competency: Strategic Insight and Integration>Big picture view
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Actuarial Profession>Professional development
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Chairperson's Corner
Chairperson's Corner Anders discusses how skills in PA techniques don't have to become the focal point for all actuaries, but they can be another tool in the toolbox for all of ...- Authors: Anders Larson
- Date: Apr 2018
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
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Like Peas in a Pod - Ideas in Cluster Analysis
Like Peas in a Pod - Ideas in Cluster Analysis This article gives a brief overview of ways to extend clustering analysis beyond basic methods such a k-means 4/22/2020 12:00:00 AM ...- Authors: Michael Niemerg
- Date: Apr 2020
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods; Predictive Analytics
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A New End, A New Beginning: Preparing for Life as We Don’t Know It
A New End, A New Beginning: Preparing for Life as We Don’t Know It A discussion of what to do in the face of unprecedented change. With so many negative indicators of the economic future, ...- Authors: John L Petersen
- Date: Jul 2010
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Public Policy
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Judgmental Forecasting in Determining Policyholder Behavior Assumptions
Judgmental Forecasting in Determining Policyholder Behavior Assumptions The author explains how he used judgmental forecasting techniques to develop a dynamic lapse assumption. He defines the ...- Authors: L Doug King
- Date: Jul 2011
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Challenging Old Paradigms—What Are You Going to Do?
Challenging Old Paradigms—What Are You Going to Do? The main focus of this article revolves around pension plans and their funding levels. ;; Retirement plans 4294992058 7/1/2012 12:00:00 AM ...- Authors: Donald Krouse
- Date: Jul 2012
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Pensions & Retirement
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BOOK REVIEW: Bad Science
BOOK REVIEW: Bad Science A good primer on how clinical studies should be conducted and how statistics are used and misused to influence us. ;; Comparative effectiveness; Data mining=Big data; ...- Authors: David Snell
- Date: Jul 2012
- Competency: Communication; Professional Values
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Health & Disability>Health care
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Modeling with Python & Sicikit-Learn
Modeling with Python & Sicikit-Learn Python & Scikit-Learn are a powerful combination for predictive modeling. Using Scikit-Learn you gain access to a variety of models, such as ...- Authors: Jeff T Heaton
- Date: Dec 2014
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
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A Nearest Neighbor Approach to Risk Adjustment
A Nearest Neighbor Approach to Risk Adjustment This article explores a potential alternative to the more typical regression-based specification of risk adjustment models. We demonstrate a proof ...- Authors: Geoffrey Hileman
- Date: Dec 2014
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
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“One of the Best Kept Secrets of the SOA”
“One of the Best Kept Secrets of the SOA” Description of the vast variety of predictive analytics topics covered by the Forecasting & Futurism section and introduction to the July 2015 issue ...- Authors: David Snell
- Date: Jul 2015
- Competency: Communication>Persuasive communication; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Economics>Behavioral economics; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Data mining; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Regression analysis