Description: Recent articles addressed the subject of fuzzy regression [FR] and the term structure of interest rates [TSIR]. Their approach relied on possibilistic regression. Although possibilistic regression has been used in many applications, it has a number of limitations, not the least of which is its nebulous relation to the least-squares concept. As an alternative to possibilistic regression, this paper uses fuzzy least square regression to investigate the TSIR.

Description: Because of the growing significance of Enterprise Risk Management, it is critical to consider how ERM responds and relates to circumstances and conditions. In particular, one megatrend currently impacting our world and our understanding of the economy is the emergence of a behavioral economics perspective. This paper describes the nature of behavioral economics, and considers the potential impact of such a perspective on ERM. From Actuarial Research Clearing House, 2012, Vol. 1.

Description: This is an Excel 2003 spreadsheet that accompanies the research report entitled 'The Effect of Deflation or High Inflation on the Insurance Industry.' It models scholastically the effects of inflation and deflation.

Description: This report highlights major weather stories that unfolded across the month of June 2020.

Description: This report looks at identifying drivers of systemic risk to China’s insurance industry and develops a measurement method for systemic risk as well as systemic risk dependence between the insurance industry and other industries.

Description: This report provides a toolkit for actuaries and other interested parties to model and forecast mortality by cause and socioeconomic factors.

Description: These assumption tables provide the range and cumulative values used in the Relative Risk Tool in the calculation of Relative Risk scores and Prevalence values.

Description: This report presents the compilation of data received from life companies responding to a survey on preferred risk underwriting and provides opinions of the Task Force on Preferred Underwriting with respect to future trends.

Description: This report presents the results of the Survey on Business Decision practices of reinsurers conducted by the Society of Actuaries Committee on Life Insurance Mortality and Underwriting Surveys . A survey of direct writers of life insurance is reported separately.

Description: Report of the Task Force to Recommend Morbidity Standards for Valuation of Credit Disability. The key recommendation was that a new morbidity standard for valuation of policy reserves be adopted based on the tables developed by the Task Force. The tables are developed from the 85CIDA tables with incidence rates increased by 12%.