Description: Futurists acknowledge the power that past performance might bring to the future, but they also explicitly recognize the possibility of ‘wild cards’ which might change the picture completely.

Description: This is a gentle introduction to fuzzy logic. It explains the concept and use of linguistic variables, reference ranges, fuzzification, and defuzzification without the usual advanced mathematics that sometimes obscure these ideas.

Description: Simple Rating Systems: Entry-level sports forecasting

Description: This article compares three potential approaches to determining new coefficients for health-based risk scoring models: full recalibration, p-value credibility weighting, and penalized ridge regression.

Description: A description of actuaries who also make art.

Description: A list of accomplishments from 2016 for the Predictive Analytics & Futurism section.

Description: Collaborative filtering models drive recommendations provided by Netflix and Amazon. This article uses the same models to explore patients’ medical conditions.

Description: The potential impact and effects that artificial intelligence might have on life insurance companies.

Description: A discussion on supervised learning--the class of machine learning where a model is trained to produce a specific result for a given input.

Description: Issue Introduction and editorial on how PAF tools and techniques can ease the angst of competing in the financial risk arena.