Description: 2011 SOA Enterprise Risk Management Symposium, Chicago. This paper reviews a risk management theory that deals with correlated, non-normally distributed factors, and then applies risk management techniques to the U.S. steel industry using futures contract hedging.

Description: 2011 SOA Enterprise Risk Management Symposium, Chicago. This paper suggests the use of a policy event-based loss estimation method using expert input and simulation for forecasting long duration expenditures: that is to say, there is an efficient time, which is random and observable to replace a physical asset.

Description: Presented at Living to 100 Symposium, January 2011. This paper addresses the question of how socioeconomic and demographic characteristics, health status and health behaviors are associated with oldest-old mortality and survivorship among people who have survived to old age. Data comes from the 1990-91 National Health Interview Survey’s Health Promotion and Disease Prevention Supplement and the mortality follow-up through 2002. The results indicate that activity limitation and exercise status, in combination with education, play an important role in survival into ages between 65 and 85, but have a smaller effect on survival among the oldest-old population of 85+.

Description: Presented at Living to 100 symposium, January 2011. Using longitudinal data from the Canadian National Population Health Survey, this paper seeks to identify social, behavioral and psycho-social factors associated with change in health status to provide insight for the aging baby boomers to help them foster a healthy aging experience.

Description: Presented at Living to 100 symposium, January 2011. This paper investigates dynamic properties of age trajectories of physiological indices and their effects on mortality risk and longevity using longitudinal data on more than 5,000 individuals collected in biannual examinations of the Framingham Heart Study original age group during about 50 subsequent years of follow up.

Description: Claims Provisions of a reinsurance agreement.

Description: This paper reviews validation for the model of a life insurance company's liabilities with actual company data. Two methods are reviewed: static and dynamic validation. From Society of Actuaries Financial Reporting Monograph, M-AS99-1.

Description: This paper attempts to advance practice and methodology with respect to life insurance company valuation. From Society of Actuaries Financial Reporting Monograph, M-AS99-1.

Description: This paper introduces and illustrates a new version of the Monte Carlo method that has attractive properties for the numerical valuation of derivatives. Quasi-Monte Carlo methods use deterministic sequences that are quasi-random sequences that result in better convergence and deterministic error bounds.

Description: This paper uses a simple example to examine the relationship between the pricing objective of ROI and the corporate profit measure of ROE. Additionally, this paper examines the effect on ROI and ROE of growth in the amount of new business. From Product Development Section Monograph, M-AS99-3.