Description: Guidance and a model for actuaries to use when performing their professional services related to Medicaid (Title XIX) and Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP or Title XXI) managed care capitation rate setting.

Description: The Society of Actuaries (SOA) is pleased to present historical U.S. population mortality rates by gender and single year of age for calendar years 2000-2020. To develop these rates, the SOA relied upon data furnished by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, the U.S. Census Bureau, and the Social Security Administration. A document summarizing key observations and the process used to develop the rates, along with a table of the rates themselves, can be found below.

Description: This paper reviews the general methodology of capture-recapture procedures and describes some applications such as estimating the size of the undercount in censuses and estimating the number of duplicate records on in a database. From Actuarial Research Clearing House 2006.

Description: Prior work indicates that a regime-switching stochastic model with randomized regime parameters creates a more plausible set of extreme paths than do the usual stochastic interest rate models. Generalizing the Black-Karasinski model by randomizing the mean reversion target provides an example. Better to understand such models, as well as to calibrate their parameters without trial and error runs of a stochastic model, this paper uses an asymptotic expansion to estimate the moments of the integrated stochastic process over time. Mention is made of a family of related asymptotic expansions that could be of wider interest.

Description: This paper uses the possibility distribution approach, or fuzzy logic, to estimate the insurance loss amount. A special class of parametric possibility distributions is used to model insurance loss variables. The parameters of the possibility distribution are estimated by combining statistical analysis of sample data and domain knowledge provided by actuarial experts. Insurance premiums are calculated using possibilistic mean and possibilistic variation. Estimation of possibility distribution of aggregate loss amount is also discussed.

Description: This is the A Review of the Demography of Retirement in the United States paper authored by Jacob S. Siegel for Session 2B of the January 13-15, 2020 Living to 100 Symposium in Orlando, Florida.

Description: This is the Retirement Strategy Metrics abstract authored by Mark Shemtob for Session 2B of the January 13-15, 2020 Living to 100 Symposium in Orlando, Florida.

Description: This the Application Tool for Mortality Improvement Model, MIM-2021.

Description: This report contains historical U.S. population crude mortality rates by gender and single year of age for calendar years 2000-2015.

Description: Report on the Lapse and Mortality Experience of Post-Level Premium Period Term Plans