Description: In this session, morbidity and life expectancy trends are discussed. In addition, a case study in R on how to model the uncertainty associated with incidence of disability, disabled and active deaths and other terminations is presented.

Description: A practical guide to survival models—Part 1.

Description: The article summarizes three papers presented at the 2014 Living to 100 Symposium V, which was hosted by the SOA in Orlando in January 2014. The papers take three different views of retirement saving: the individual's, the insurance provider's and a wholesale risk management view. David Blanchett of Morningstar proposes a new model to assess the true cost of retirement, Moshe Milevsky proposes a new product concept based on the nearly forgotten tontine and Johnny Li proposes a new set of mortality indices based on the Cairns-Blake-Dowd projection model for the purpose of actively managing mortality and longevity risk.

Description: A description of a new method for deriving PBA prudent estimate assumptions from company experience.

Description: A research paper that outlines a seamless method of deriving assumptions for modern reserving and solvency capital requirements from a company’s own data.

Description: An interview with Prof. Johnny Li of University of Waterloo, which touches upon the subjects of longevity, mortality projections, international collaboration and the Living to 100 Symposium. Longevity is a topic in which scientific research and collaboration successfully spans many countries, which is desirable because the implications of ever increasing life spans is of global importance.

Description: Process risk, estimation error, model uncertainty, trend risk and catastrophe risk are the five main components of longevity risk uncertainty. In the face of this daunting uncertainty, what should the actuarial practitioner do? This session focuses on assessing model uncertainty, process risk and estimation error in mortality modeling. Besides discussing the theory behind methods for performing the assessment, presenters provide attendees with practical examples using R to help them in applying the methodologies and concepts presented.