Description: A primer on extreme event modeling and mitigation for practitioners, it covers the complete cycle of extreme event risk management, from identifying experience data sources, to extreme event detection, to modeling and dependence analysis, and finally to monitoring and mitigation.

Description: Investment Fallacies: Gambler’s Fallacy: Probability of Reversion

Description: The Society of Actuaries announces the release of a new report that will provide a resource for the insurance industry to learn about image recognition technology. Authored by Kailan Shang, the report explores the current status of image recognition technology, models for image recognition, and various possible applications of image recognition to insurance.

Description: This article discusses challenges in achieving ERM stakeholder buy- in and ways to improve stakeholder engagement.

Description: A brief introduction to a new SOA research on liability-driven investment benchmark model.

Description: With the credit interest rate floor of a cash balance plan—a simple type of option identified by the Project Oversight Group—as a model, this research uses three valuation and risk analysis approaches to explore the existing techniques to value embedded options on an economic basis.

Description: This research paper is intended to be a primer on extreme event modeling and mitigation for practitioners. It covers the complete cycle of extreme event risk management, from identifying experience data sources, to extreme event detection, to modeling and dependence analysis, and finally to monitoring and mitigation. This paper explores extreme events from the perspective of a global insurance company, with an emphasis on market risk, credit risk, insurance risk, liquidity risk, and business risk. Extreme risk concepts and models are introduced from a practitioner’s perspective without unnecessary theoretical details. This report is not intended to be all-encompassing, but rather to focus on the key aspects of extreme risk analysis and its application. The input data and R programs underlying the numerical examples herein are available in the supporting files accompanying this report

Description: This abstract describes a report that studies the social media response to three extreme tornado outbreaks in the Midwest United States.

Description: This research report studies the social media response to three extreme tornado outbreaks: May 22, 2011 in Joplin, MO, November 17, 2013 in Washington, IL and April 9, 2015 in Rochelle, IL. It uses Twitter data with a 14‐day period for each tornado event with a focus on a 24‐hour period surrounding the event. It starts with an overview of the data followed by analysis of geolocation, insurance related user influence, social network, and sentiment.

Description: This article introduces a non-traditional type of economic scenario generator that relies on dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models are complex macroeconomics models and have been increasingly popular in central banks for analyzing monetary policies.