Description: The Mortality Improvement subgroup of the American Academy of Actuaries’ Work Group and the Society of Actuaries’ Mortality and Longevity Oversight Advisory Council released a recommendation for a set of improvement factors that vary by gender and attained age to be used in conjunction with the 2008 Valuation Basic table or the 2015 Valuation Basic table for AG-38 purposes. This recommendation has been adopted by the NAIC’s Life Actuarial Task Force.

Description: Authored by a MIB Solutions team of Tom Rhodes, Stuart Klugman, Marianne Purushotham and Stacy Gill, the report summarizes the results of a study on the application and adoption of credibility theory within the life insurance and annuity industry. In addition to the report, numerical examples related to the application of credibility to company mortality and lapse data are provided in the four Excel files. This excel spreadsheet is a numerical example relating to the application of Credibility for mortality - Limited Fluctuation Method. Please see the SOA website research section for the full report on Credibity Theory Practices.

Description: This report provides a toolkit for actuaries and other interested parties to model and forecast mortality by cause and socioeconomic factors.

Description: The Society of Actuaries (SOA) is pleased to present historical U.S. population mortality rates by sex and single year of age for calendar years 2000-2021.

Description: The Product Development Section, the Financial Reporting Section, the Modeling Section and the Committee on Life Insurance Research are pleased to present new research on modeling and forecasting cause-of-death mortality. Authored by a Milliman team led by Alexandre Boumezoued, the report develops a framework for forecasting cause specific death rates. Included also is a Cause of Deaths Forecasting Tool and a user guide for the tool.

Description: U.K. life insurers writing participating business are required by the Financial Services Authority to value their assets and liabilities on a market-consistent basis. The purpose of this paper is to: • Explain the valuation approach based on market-consistent values and its rationale. • Set out the issues faced by life insurers in implementing the regime. • Explain how insurers addressed these issues. • Explain the importance of the modeling techniques they used.

Description: This paper discusses the time value of ruin in a Sparre Anderson Model and presents multiple equations, including Lundberg's fundamental equation.

Description: Using data from the Mexican Social Security Institute for labor risks, this paper classifies the severity of sequels in three categories: mild, moderate and high, and attempts to relate this level with the characteristics of the worker and his activities at work. Toward this goal, a model was built using a multilogistic regression, which allowed predicting the severity of physical sequels caused by a labor risk. From Actuarial Research Clearing House, 2006.

Description: This paper critiques and supplements Professor Schuette's 'Linear Programming Approach to Graduation.' The main points are: 1. The graduation is a problem of estimating the mean vector of a multivariate variable under certain assumptions. Schuette and other discussants emphasized the robustness property of their proposed estimation. This paper points out their mistake and suggests some correcting directions based on Bayesian theory. 2. This paper provides a more complete theoretical rationale for the parameter choosing in the graduation problem. 3. This paper points out the incompleteness of a theorem's proof in Schuette's paper and supplements some interpretations and mathematical details for the proof of some other theorems from a different viewpoint.

Description: The research provides a modeling framework for assessing the inundation risk of properties and their expected flood damages, thereby laying a foundation for flood insurance pricing. The researchers studied over 50 years of claims data from the National Flood Insurance Program with 2.5 million records and identify property characteristics that predict flood damages for inundated properties. The development of a private flood insurance market benefits from insurers’ ability to better understand and price flood risk. This research takes a closer look at flood risk modeling and flood insurance pricing.