Description: In this article, we are going to discuss the AR model by making connections to time-dependent ordinary differential equations.

Description: Summary of what the section has accomplished over the past year.

Description: Looks at free and inexpensive resources for the novice in predictive analytics, covering the data analysis theory as well as the most commonly used languages/software used in the field.

Description: Contrary to what you might infer from the article title, the author provides counterpoint from some data science skeptics and suggests Big Data sometimes leads to sloppy analysis.

Description: The rapid evolution of life insurance underwriting has created pricing and operational challenges and raised new questions about established approaches to assumption development, both of which demand a fresh perspective. As underwriting methods evolve, we find ourselves navigating uncharted territory. In this session, we delve into accelerated underwriting, focusing on two critical areas. First, we explore assumption setting in this new world, where numerous interaction effects can make it feel like we’re asked to consider everything, from every angle, all at once. Considerations for assumption setting must encompass early performance indicators—what signals inform our assumptions? Additionally, we address novel underwriting approaches and how to adapt assumptions for these paradigms. Furthermore, in the context of post-COVID claims experience, we discuss distinguishing meaningful insights from noise. Second, we examine declinable risks and their impact on mortality. In this new world ushered in by accelerated underwriting, previously excluded risks—low-frequency, high-severity declinable cases—are now part of the landscape. Quantifying their mortality impact challenges us, as historical data lacks systematic tracking. To quantify declinable risks, we draw upon research findings from analyzing 27 million life insurance applicants, providing valuable insights for attendees to navigate this dynamic landscape and make informed assumptions for pricing and risk management.

Description: In this session, we will do a deep dive into the potential of large language models; we will explore how new AI tools can be combined with traditional modeling to automate aspects of risk assessment. Industry experts focused on operationalizing this technology will talk through their approaches, lessons learned and demo use cases. We will also share insights around creating a robust AI strategy based on business objectives and regulatory considerations. Learning Outcomes: • Applications of large language models in risk assessment use cases • Regulatory considerations around the use of generative AI

Description: How are regulation and innovation intertwined? How to regulate artificial intelligence/machine learning in the insurance industry? We will cover how regulators are striking the balance between protection of their constituents and supporting innovation. We will zoom into the case of predictive analytics and the regulatory attempt at avoiding undue discrimination. Let's discuss what this really mean.

Description: In recent years, vast amount of data from emerging experiences has helped insurers gain a deeper understanding of their policyholders and the factors driving their behaviors. However, due to limitations in traditional experience study methods, this understanding typically remains at the cohort level. This series of articles proposes a novel machine learning-based model that analyzes and predicts policyholder behaviors at the individual policy level. Policyholder embedding representations are learned using a Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) that takes into account the sequence of historical transactions associated with a policy. Additionally, a Neural Network with a multi-head architecture is trained to predict the policyholder's next action based on the policyholder embedding and other policy attributes. The resulting model offers several advantages over traditional experience studies and assumption-setting methods, including the ability to set policy-level assumptions that improve reserve accuracy, predict multiple behaviors simultaneously while capturing the interrelationships between them, and generate policyholder embedding representations that are useful for segmentation.

Description: Analyze the market volatility behavior in context with historical extreme events during this webcast. There will be a focus on understanding volatility clustering and relationships, both contemporary and temporal, in addition to key economic and capital market variables. You'll also learn from a comprehensive attribution analysis, which uses economic data, asset data, retail investor data and event data as explanatory variables. Dive into investment-related Reddit comments used to capture features of retail investors and tree-based models, including Random Forests and Gradient Boosting Machines to justify changes in volatility modeling. Expect this webcast to end with an example of liability-driven investment optimization that illustrates the potential impact of increased volatility assumption, how to adopt stochastic volatility models, how to reflect volatility clustering and return jumps.

Description: "Examine the exciting possibilities for artificial intelligence (AI) in health care and its potential to transform the patient journey. You will learn about the various touchpoints where AI is being applied along the patient/care journey, including provider search tools, claims analysis, and fraud detection. By attending the session, you will be able to: Have a comprehensive understanding of the opportunities and challenges presented by AI in health care Evaluate the potential impact of AI on their own organizations Be equipped with strategies for effectively implementing AI solutions and maximizing their benefits for patients, providers, and payers"