Description: Read the August 2019 issue of Predictive Analytics and Futurism published by the Predictive Analytics and Futurism Section. Newsletter provide practical information for the working actuary, articles on trends that impact sections and news about section activities.

Description: In How Significant Is Statistical Significance? The author discusses the p-value that is often used to determine significance. Sometimes we place too much reliance upon canned metrics and lose the ability to notice when something is mathematically sound but not sensible. The article provides three simple examples that require no complicated mathematics to follow yet provide a basis for some deep thought about statistical significance versus substantive significance.

Description: Important tools used in property & casualty P&C insurance—predictive modeling and data mining—can be applied to more effectively model policyholder behavior risks in variable annuity VA contracts. In this article, a case study is used to demonstrate how a predictive modeling approach can improve upon traditional methods used to model VA lapse behavior.

Description: The presenters will explore policyholder experience data for long-term products, risks of over-fitting data in developing behavioral models, and ways to mitigate these risks and develop a sustainable and coherent framework to translate complex policyholder behavior experience data to behavioral models using company- and industry-level data. At the conclusion of the session, attendees will be able to: - Identify key drivers of policyholder behavior for long-term product - Understand the risks of over-fitting data and a false sense of precision in developing behavioral mode - Understand techniques that can be used to mitigate these risk

Description: Read the Society of Actuaries' latest update about how health care executives view the future of predictive analytics in the health care industry.

Description: This report explores AI bias in insurance and health data, highlighting the ethical role of actuaries and offering cross-disciplinary guidance for fairer decision-making systems.

Description: Actuaries today have unique opportunities to analyze, understand and use data for strategic decision making. With nearly unlimited computing power and a broad spectrum of data sources at our fingertips, we are enabled to support our actuarial judgment with comprehensive findings backed up by deep data analyses.

Description: How can generative artificial intelligence (AI) be leveraged to transform and modernize life insurance? Gain an overview of AI and some of their current use cases in the industry, including the latest trends in the market. Next, you will learn about the current challenges companies face, including costly underwriting procedures, customer acquisition and retention, and complicated application processes. Finally, explore how generative AI can help address these challenges, improve customer experience and help streamline processes to free up more time for higher-level business insights and other company initiatives.

Description: Virtual - Session 4A: Data Science-Driven MA Product Design Strategies

Description: In this session, attendees will understand the role of AI in risk management and underwriting. You will see insightful case studies highlighting AI-driven techniques for enhancing precision and efficiency in these areas. Additionally, the session will cover advanced AI applications in claim management and fraud detection, showcasing cutting-edge strategies to mitigate risks and streamline operations.