Description: Issue Introduction and editorial on how PAF tools and techniques can ease the angst of competing in the financial risk arena.

Description: This is the full version of CompAct newsletter, published May 2004, Issue No. 17.

Description: Book review – this book is a concise look at the evolution of formal investment theory and related financial forecasting, with continual contextual references to its ties to gambling and to organized crime.

Description: The first annual SOA Predictive Analytics Symposium was held in Chicago and exceeded all expectations in attendance, presentation quality, and relevant content.

Description: Summary of the first annual predictive analytics (PA) symposium specifically targeted to help actuaries get into PA & to take it to the next level of expertise.

Description: This is an index of all PAF Section articles, September, 2009 through November 2017.

Description: A summary of how the Forecasting and Futurism Section is networking with other SOA sections and with external organizations to collaborate on various projects. Also highlights new events and projects happening on the forecasting and futurism front.

Description: 1. A simplified description of how a genetic algorithm works (requiring no knowledge of biology) and how to build your own. 2. A free Excel workbook that allows you to solve problems without doing any coding; or to let you extend the existing code for your own special needs.

Description: Why should actuaries care about non-quantitative considerations? We are the masters of accurate calculations, and our models should be based solely upon logic … right? Wrong! The touchy-feely holistic, irrational factors encountered so often in the real world, can wreak havoc upon a model that considers only rational logic. Our 2016 presidential election was a dramatic wake-up call to statisticians and actuaries that numbers alone are not always the determining factors in economic outcomes. Learn why this is true, and how you can adapt your models to better represent the real world, and gain competitive advantage.