Description: This is a study to perform a mortality analysis of the 1898-1902 birth cohort.

Description: This report describes two methods, an observation-based analysis and an actual to model analysis, to analyze long-term care insurance experience to determine if calendar year trends exist.

Description: Session 3A: State-Specific Enrollment Modeling - Understanding Disenrollment Trends and Population Dynamics

Description: A comprehensive primer on long-term care wellness programs, their design, implementation, challenges, metrics for success, and emerging industry practices.

Description: The Society of Actuaries (SOA) is pleased to present historical U.S. population mortality rates by sex and single year of age for calendar years 2000-2021.

Description: The Society of Actuaries Individual Disability Experience Committee has completed their study of incidence experience for the period 2006-2014 comparing trends to the 2013 IDI Valuation Table (2013 IDIVT) base incidence rates. Included is the report and pivot table.

Description: This report describes two methods, an observation-based analysis and an actual to model analysis, to analyze long-term care insurance experience to determine if calendar year trends exist.

Description: This report describes two methods, an observation-based analysis and an actual to model analysis, to analyze long-term care insurance experience to determine if calendar year trends exist.

Description: The Society of Actuaries Individual Disability Experience Committee has completed their study of claim termination experience for the period 2006-2014 and has produced a report that provide a practical set of changes to the claim termination rates (CTRs) of the 2013 Individual Disability Income Valuation Table to reflect key industry individual disability income (IDI) claim experience trends over this time period. The goal was to have the resulting 2006-2014 IDIET in a workable format to facilitate its implementation.

Description: Modern Actuarial work, being quite data intensive, provides many opportunities for actuaries to use the statistical skills that are part of their basic training. Furthermore, modern computing allows us to analyze vast quantities of data intensively, and each package will provide statistical 'answers' to any questions the actuary might ask of it. However, in this particular field, it is often worth taking a step back, and ensuring that we recall and consider the warnings that come with each of the statistical procedures we might attempt to use. This will allow us to ensure that we guard ourselves against drawing inappropriate conclusions, which could come back to haunt us later.At the conclusion of the session, attendees will be able to avoid drawing inappropriate statistical conclusions, while doing their work. They will leave informed about the types of pitfalls that exist, and where those might come into play in actuarial work.