Description: Comments on Robert North’s paper, a real case study of disclosing MVL in a public employee retirement system.

Description: A response to the comments on the paper.

Description: An Overview of Stochastic Simulation modeling techniques and usages

Description: The author discusses how China is poised for dramatic changes in its life insurance industry that will raise both opportunities and challenges. The author notes that China has particularly spectacular growth prospects, and given the nature of the business, the industry will have an almost insatiable appetite for capital. However, In order to accomplish this, China's insurance industry needs to advance its financial management and improve its ability to produce transparent financial information, in a timely and reliable manner. The author compares China’s current position in the life insurance compared to other Asian countries, and describes the steps needed to improve its financial management.

Description: An insurance company selling LTCI today would do far better to address some important financial needs by taking the aspirin of improving modeling and pricing, and not the morphine of shutting down the business line entirely. The aspirin can consist of two strategies: First, integrate the projections of the asset portfolio and the claims liabilities when testing the sensitivity of assumptions or stochastically modeling the product. Second, establish a separate asset portfolio for LTCI products, and make sure it has a strong, well-defined, well-documented Investment Policy Statement. An Investment Policy Statement will enable pricing actuaries and investment departments to work together with the same goals and objectives.

Description: In this article, the author discusses the new IAA strategic plan for dealing with global financial risk.

Description: The mismatch between how interest rate impacts the value of assets and liabilities could have material negative impact to companies’ earnings and surplus. To quantify and mitigate the impact of such mismatches, companies have used matching a combination of duration and convexity. I will review these measurement techniques and their limitations.

Description: This article will highlight the issue that the sum of key-rate metrics does not add to metrics derived by parallel shift to the entire curve, even at very low shift size. Additionally, in the article I will outline how to define a single rate change to be applied to a key rate (or the entire curve) since the rate changes are generally not level or parallel.

Description: Feature article discussing Nassim Taleb’s black swan theory. Taleb points out that banks keep their loans at full value - anchored to the book value of the loan. The solution to the problem is to use mark-to-market reporting and have volatility instead of having no volatility and then experiencing a Black Swan event.

Description: French language version of Risk Management, August 2014 newsletter.