Description: This article summarizes a method for measuring the credibility of a prediction from a logistic generalized linear model (GLM).

Description: An introduction to creating Shiny web applications, with sample code available to reproduce the interactive application displayed in screenshots in the article.

Description: This article shares our experience of using the cloud to do large-scale parallel processing and discusses some background regarding the cloud.

Description: This is a summary of the benefits of attending the 2019 Predictive Analytics Symposium.

Description: This is an Editorial describing the need for actuaries to upgrade skills or risk minimization from artificial intelligence.

Description: The author reviews a book the debunks some of the hype we read about using quantity at the expense of quality. She also points out some unrealistic outcomes when data scientists lack business knowledge.

Description: Editorial for the May 2019 issue of Predictive Analytics & Futurism newsletter.

Description: A discussion of what to do in the face of unprecedented change. With so many negative indicators of the economic future, suggestions are made for individual actions.

Description: The author discusses expectations for incoming actuarial science students, emphasizing that a solid grasp of algebra and traditional mathematical skills is not enough. In addition, the author states that today’s business environment dictates that students be well versed and that their backgrounds include familiarity with complexity science.

Description: The author explains how he used judgmental forecasting techniques to develop a dynamic lapse assumption. He defines the techniques and provides readers with a step-by-step process.