Description: Suited for students, newly minted ASAs/FSAs, or those venturing into the realm of reserving, as well as seasoned actuaries in need of a recap, this session is a gateway to the mysteries of IBNR reserving, unraveling various methods and assumptions. Embark on a journey through the construction of claims triangles and the crafting of completion factors, delving into the enigmatic realms of seasonality, trend analysis, and outlier claims. Harness the principles unveiled to dissect a myriad of case studies spanning diverse products like major medical inpatient, outpatient, pharmacy, Medicare Supplement, dental, and critical illness. This session is your guide through the intricate world of reserving!

Description: Modeling Approaches and Challenges focuses on approaches to real world simulation and the challenges and considerations in real world simulation. Topics include: A frequency domain approach to build realistic multi-horizon scenarios. (Ortec approach) Cascade models structure linking models for major asset classes and economic variables. (Moody’s approach) Overview of models, calibrations & approaches within the context of different use cases. Deterministic & stochastic approaches. Importance of model re-calibration flexibility. We will also discuss specific insights into considerations and challenges in real world simulation, which include topics like: Setting capital market assumptions and/or calibration targets. Assumptions about correlation and causality. Calibrating the model to capital markets assumptions. Validating the model against capital market assumptions. Role of history, market data and stylized facts. Importance of back testing. Calibrating the model to multiple investment horizons. Inclusion of alterative asset classes such as private equity, infrastructure, and direct real estate. Associated issues of limited data, illiquidity and greater uncertainty about calibration targets.

Description: Emerging Applications of ESG Methods offers ground-up insights on cutting edge applications of economic scenario generation. The course will focus on the incorporation of climate change risk in scenario modeling and investment applications of ESGs. The following topics will be covered: Approaches to climate risk modeling. Climate risk is very different than classical financial economic risk. Radical uncertainty is amenable to scenario analysis and lack of data. Building special deterministic scenarios that go beyond NGFS requirements as well as bespoke scenarios. Holistic Approach to Climate Risk Modeling. Overview of different Climate Risk Modeling Applications. Use of ESG scenarios for Strategic Asset Allocation (SAA). Liquidity risk management.

Description: The Inflation Reduction Act represents the most significant changes to the Part D program since its inception 20 years ago. The implications will not only alter the benefits offered by Medicare Advantage (MAPD) and Prescription Drug Plans (PDP) but will alter the Part D cash flows and the seasonality of such amounts for interim reporting periods. In this session, we will provide a brief overview of the IRA changes and dive into how the changes could impact the 2008 Medicare Part D Accounting Practice Note.

Description: As companies have reported their latest financials for 2023, LDTI is in its full swing for the public companies. Under US GAAP reinsurance accounting methods can be daunting. Add onto this legacy practices related to reinsurance reporting and this may lead to significant unwinding and implementation efforts. This session will discuss industry practices commonly applied to US GAAP reinsurance reported balances such that LDTI adopters can gather deeper insights into the LDTI impact. Specifically, the session will explain the two most popular methods to value reinsurance under LDTI, methods applying a direct measurement of the reinsurance net cost and a method that recognizes ceded asset balances and a cost of reinsurance (“CoRe”). The session will present simplified direct and ceded models to demonstrate how the actuarial balances under LDTI impact GAAP book profits for different underlying products and reinsurance types.

Description: Join us for this popular annual webcast covering the latest considerations for the year's U.S. statutory financial reporting work. Always informative and occasionally entertaining, this webcast offers a chance to hear from three expert speakers, who will discuss asset adequacy testing and this year's New York and California holiday letters, the impact of recent interest rate changes, potential changes to statutory financial reporting due to climate change, and recent proposal(s) impacting asset adequacy testing for reinsured business.

Description: The session will discuss key areas of statutory reserving that contain some ambiguity or areas where there are simplifications being used in the industry. The content will be based on current practices used in the industry and possibly accompanied by an industry survey to be completed prior to the session. The focus will be heavily on CRVM, AG38, and PBR statutory frameworks and will include a Q&A portion for audience participation. Some potential topics will be reinsurance modeling, DBO3/ROP treatment, segmentation, deficiency reserves, system differences and multi-tiered designs

Description: Analyze the market volatility behavior in context with historical extreme events during this webcast. There will be a focus on understanding volatility clustering and relationships, both contemporary and temporal, in addition to key economic and capital market variables. You'll also learn from a comprehensive attribution analysis, which uses economic data, asset data, retail investor data and event data as explanatory variables. Dive into investment-related Reddit comments used to capture features of retail investors and tree-based models, including Random Forests and Gradient Boosting Machines to justify changes in volatility modeling. Expect this webcast to end with an example of liability-driven investment optimization that illustrates the potential impact of increased volatility assumption, how to adopt stochastic volatility models, how to reflect volatility clustering and return jumps.

Description: This webcast will oversee a discussion on the impact of LDTI (transitions and earnings), in addition to day two items and other considerations. Examples include pricing, reinsurance and non-GAAP adjustments.

Description: Historically for coinsurance deals some appointed actuaries have only concerned themselves with the reinsurer counterparty risk and in certain cases have ignored 100% coinsurance business in their asset adequacy analyses (AAA). Recently there have been regulatory discussions about concerns relating to asset intensive reinsurance and how these deals may be exposing policyholders to additional risk. Presenters will discuss the recent draft APF 2024-3 and issue brief 'Asset-Intensive Reinsurance Ceded Offshore From U.S. Life Insurers (With Focus on Bermuda)', potential impact to AAA, and modeling considerations.