Description: This article discusses the causes of the 1918 influenza pandemic, the reasons it occurred and the likelihood that it could happen again. In addition, the author discussed ways, in general, to model and manage risks that occur infrequently, yet have a significant impact.

Description: This is Appendix B to the research report measuring the annual frequency of medical errors in the United States and the total measurable cost to the United States economy of these errors. See the SOA web site research section for the full report.

Description: The MACRA/QPP Payer Revenue Model is designed to provide Health Plans an estimate of the expected claim cost increase/decrease due to MACRA.

Description: Society of Actuaries Research Brief Impact of COVID-19, April 16, 2020

Description: An update of selected key graphs from the Key Statistics section of previous COVID-19 briefs.

Description: COVID has washed over healthcare like a tsunami—things have been tossed in all directions. According to Medicare actuaries, trends have been turned upside down in 2021, but will reverse back in 2023 as medical costs rebound. It is more prudent to base projections on long run trends for a period after the storm, extrapolating from 2026 forward, leaving the intervening turbulence (years 2022 -2025) mostly unspecified.

Description: This report provides highlights of a weekly survey of practices regarding the mitigation of the spread of COVID���19 in the U.S. during the second half of March 2021 along with comparisons to prior half���month time periods. The survey asks about the degree to which the respondents perceive that people in their community are following 21 common mitigation practices. The responses are separated by state and compared to state level statistics regarding the level of COVID���19 infections from the Johns Hopkins COVID database for the same time period.

Description: A literature review on the impacts of healthy lifestyle behaviors and chronic condition management, providing a resource for actuaries and others on these issues.

Description: On February 15, 2022, the Association Forum Health Care Collaborative, a collection of metropolitan Chicago based Healthcare associations, held its winter event. This virtual gathering featured two sessions titled: “Healthcare Policy Perspective” and “Megatrends and Tipping Points that will Define Success in the "New Normal".

Description: The Society of Actuaries SoA developed this research project to repeat and expand upon its “Group Medical Insurance Large Claims Database Collection and Analysis” study, which was published as a monograph in August of 1997. The general purpose of these studies is to discover and analyze factors affecting claim incidence rates and the distribution of claim sizes. This is the report for the database. Please see the SOA website experience studies for Group Health for the databases themselves.