Description: Analyze the market volatility behavior in context with historical extreme events during this webcast. There will be a focus on understanding volatility clustering and relationships, both contemporary and temporal, in addition to key economic and capital market variables. You'll also learn from a comprehensive attribution analysis, which uses economic data, asset data, retail investor data and event data as explanatory variables. Dive into investment-related Reddit comments used to capture features of retail investors and tree-based models, including Random Forests and Gradient Boosting Machines to justify changes in volatility modeling. Expect this webcast to end with an example of liability-driven investment optimization that illustrates the potential impact of increased volatility assumption, how to adopt stochastic volatility models, how to reflect volatility clustering and return jumps.

Description: This article lays conceptual foundations associated with projecting investment-related discretionary elements of various life insurance and annuity products. It outlines potential implementation approaches that may be appropriate when calculations are performed in a risk-neutral setting. The article concludes that crediting rates in risk-neutral models can be projected as in real-world models, except that the modeled provision for expected credit losses should be modified to equal real-world expected losses initially, but over the projection reflect management’s evolving expectation, moving ultimately to risk neutral expected losses.

Description: Gather with members and non-members in the China actuarial community to discuss recent topics and related issues in areas such as macroeconomic sharing, pension, investment, product strategy, and more.

Description: As long-term care enters into its fifth decade, the product continues to evolve. Current trends as well as innovative product designs pose many challenges as carriers seeks to model long-term care.

Description: The discount rate is one of the most critical topics in IFRS 17 and may have important repercussions on product profitability. The presenters will cover practical implementation considerations, including alternative approaches to illiquidity premium calculation for business supported by fixed assets with credit risks. Other implementation considerations will also be covered, including granularity of setting the discount rate, application to new business, and implications on asset and liability modeling. The presenters will then discuss how discount rates could be utilized in an Economic Scenario Generator (ESG) to assist IFRS17 calculations, particularly for risk-neutral valuation of the time value of options and guarantees.

Description: At the conclusion of this session attendees will be familiar with the status of the NAIC's GOES project and have a better understanding of the scenario sets under consideration and how they can be tested to assess the potential impact to principle-based reserve and capital levels.

Description: In several parts of the world, LDTI which had substantial changes to U.S. GAAP and also IFRS-17 have been implemented in the last two years. There have been learnings and also challenges for companies subject to these new financial reporting standards. These include enhancements to modeling, improvements in end-to-end processes, and development of robust management reporting and analysis frameworks.

Description: This session will delve into the valuable lessons learned from recent accounting change implementation, covering both model and process optimization. Attendees will gain industry knowledge as we explore optimization decisions made by others, highlighting both successful strategies and areas for improvement. We will discuss key decision points throughout the entire actuarial process, including data manipulation, actuarial calculation engine, and post-model reporting.

Description: The importance of storytelling in financial communication and its role in conveying complex financial reporting results and insights to diverse stakeholders cannot be denied.