Description: Discussion on modeling Medicare Supplement insurance and the considerations when choosing an Actuarial Modeling Software (AMS). Focuses on model risk management, key modeling assumptions and inputs, and the complex interactions between modeling assumptions and why its critical to have a model that can handle that complexity. This article also touches on the incorporation the of accounting and regulatory regimes into the model, including Statutory, GAAP (Legacy and LDTI), and Tax regimes, and the modeling considerations for sensitivity testing and capital planning. Lastly, the article highlights the capabilities to look for when choosing an AMS for Medicare Supplement

Description: A comprehensive webcast designed to bring together industry practitioners to discuss the current state of Model Risk Management (MRM) frameworks. This event will delve into the advancements in MRM, the challenges faced by professionals in the field, and emerging trends such as machine learning model validation that are set to shape the future of MRM. Engage with experts, share knowledge, and explore innovative solutions to enhance the effectiveness of your MRM framework.

Description: "Can you answer the question 'what are the chances we will lose more than $1 million next year?' without saying 'it depends'? If you miss a projection, can you quantify the chances that the miss was due to random variation vs. an incorrect projection? ten in as presenters demonstrate how to answer these questions and others using total risk analysis. Total risk analysis includes quantifying both the random variation risk and the projection risk associated with actuarial functions like pricing and reserving. After attending this session, you will be able to describe total risk analysis, apply total risk analysis to many actuarial functions."

Description: In this presentation, actuaries and data scientists from Cleveland Clinic and Milliman discuss the development of a sepsis prediction model using machine learning. Presented with a unique challenge of handling massive amounts of data for near real-time risk scoring, the team took their model development to the cloud and delivered a product in less than a week through a unique virtual engagement.

Description: Learn more about the predictive modeling that was applied to industry data for the lapse and mortality experience in the post-level term period. Novel approaches were taken to model the shock lapse, subsequent lapse, and mortality experience. Observe a demonstration of the Tableau tool, which was built to allow users to analyze data on their own.

Description: How might retirement income strategies be designed, and their suitability assessed, when retirees may differ substantially in their objectives, preferences and personal circumstances? This webcast provides a wide-ranging overview of the key elements involved in formulating retirement strategies, drawing on the “Primer on Retirement Income Strategy Design and Evaluation” that was recently released by the SOA. It will cover three types of income objective – income floor, income target and income optimization – and how they imply different retirement strategies along with a different set of metrics to evaluate outcomes. It will also touch on: key member attributes to account for; the nature of income risk; approaches to investing and drawing down on available assets to generate income; and how stochastic modelling can support the analysis. This webcast should deliver something of interest for all attendees, regardless of prior familiarity with strategies for retirement.

Description: Learn about the industrial practice for constructing the mortality table from 0 to 1 through journeys in Hong Kong and Singapore, including key takeaways. Hear speakers share their biggest challenges during their process, how they resolved them, and discover the most common technical issues faced in conducting the mortality tables.

Description: Cluster modeling is emerging as a powerful technique to manage cloud costs and run time. It also enables quick responses to "what if" scenarios, and aids in attributing results between reporting cycles. In this webcast, we provide insight into cluster modeling, present case studies that focus on various key performance indicators and discuss the benefits and challenges to cluster modeling from an insurer’s perspective. We also discuss the considerations associated with moving from an on-prem based computing solution to a cloud-based approach.