Description: Reserving and ratemaking calculations are vital to how insurance companies perform financially. Current-day practices for predicting future loss ratio or pure premiums for reserving and ratemaking rates are not based on low prediction errors—mean squared error (MSE) criterion. This report provides mathematically optimal weights that lead to minimum MSE prediction errors, and the formulas are validated using retro-testing with real-world datasets. In this report, two main theorems are discussed, each addressing prediction of future loss ratio or pure premium and improving upon current practices for how rates and reserves are calculated.

Description: The Society of Actuaries Research Institute is pleased to make available a research report summarizing the findings of two Accelerated Underwriting surveys conducted by Milliman to direct companies and reinsurers. Sponsored by the Marketing & Distribution, Product Development, Reinsurance and Smaller Insurance Company sections, the purpose of the study was to not only determine how practices have changed, but also how they have changed because of COVID-19.

Description: This research project seeks to develop a broader understanding of the relationship between ownership of insurance and retirement products and the income and wealth gap between races and ethnicities in the United States.

Description: There is value in a framework that allows a smooth transition from a qualitative assessment to a quantitative analysis as entities mature in their understanding of climate risk. In this report, a case study on climate change impact on home prices is used to illustrate a Bayesian network iterative approach to building a model for scenario analysis.

Description: In this panel discussion, actuarial leaders in the stop-loss marketplace provide their perspectives on recent stop-loss trends. Learn about the most current issues facing self-funded plans and their stop-loss coverage. Take part in a deeper discussion on this topic and more at Oysters, Beers & Large Claim Solutions on Tuesday, June 27, from 4:30-5:30 p.m. PT. This happy hour, featuring drinks and tasty Pacific Northwest oysters will include a discussion on the large claims impacts on the health care market.

Description: Are you interested in alternative investments and their role in professionally managed institutional portfolios? Join us for an engaging discussion that delves into the nature of alternative investments, the reasons behind their increased utilization, and the benefits and considerations of their use. Our speakers, representing both the insurance and pension sectors, will cover various asset classes and provide valuable insights.

Description: The cyber insurance market looks like it’s growing—rapidly, in fact. However, there’s more to the cyber insurance market than the outward appearance of strong growth. Worldwide aggregate premium’s upward trend may even be cause for alarm. The increase in premium against a flat rate of insured exposure is a key sign that the market could turn from growth to constriction if a solution isn’t found in the near future. If the cyber insurance sector hopes to reach such lofty goals as exceeding $30 billion in global premium by 2028, it’s going to need more capital. Whether directly into the insurance sector or via support from reinsurance and retrocession, fresh capital should help insurers achieve greater market penetration, build a broader foundation for ongoing expansion, and chart a course for long-term sustainable profitable growth. The same sources capital insurers have used since the early days of the market won’t be enough, though. Thankfully, the insurance linked securities (ILS) market seems poised to help, particularly with several promising recent transactions. New sources of capital could bolster the foundation for future cyber re/insurance growth.